São Paulo vs San Lorenzo de Almagro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
brazilBrazilSporTV
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.50
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
76% (299/396)72% (253/350)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.33
Total shots
814
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
76% (299/396)72% (253/350)
Long passes
55% (41/74)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
57% (51/89)53% (58/110)
Crosses
22% (2/9)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.29
Throw-ins
2531
Fouls
1414
Tackles
63% (10/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
448
Interceptions
1220
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.331.34
Goals prevented
0.33-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Millene , Bruna Calderan (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 0, Camilinha ,

Chances of winning


São Paulo
64.2%
Draw
23.1%
San Lorenzo de Almagro
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 25.2% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 24.7% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • San Lorenzo de Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • São Paulo - San Lorenzo de Almagro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.46)
    3.94
    (3.63)
    7.13
    (7.59)
    10.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, São Paulo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of São Paulo
    28.09.2025 São Paulo - Palmeiras 0:3
    24.09.2025 São Paulo - Corinthians 3:1
    17.09.2025 São Paulo - Flamengo 1:0
    03.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Corinthians W (A1)Boca Juniors W (B2)4 : 0
    2Ferroviaria W (B1)Independiente del Valle W (A2)3 : 0
    3Colo-Colo W (C1)Libertad Limpeno W (D2)1 : 0
    4Dep. Cali W (D1)Sao Paulo W (C2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Corinthians W (A1)Ferroviaria W (B1)2 : 1
    2Colo-Colo W (C1)Dep. Cali W (D1)0 : 1

    Final
    1Corinthians W (A1)Dep. Cali W (D1)1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Ferroviaria W (B1)Colo-Colo W (C1)1 : 0