Ethiopia vs São Tomé and Príncipe, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Preliminary - Final

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
42
Total shots
96
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
55
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Gugsa C. , Tafesse M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ethiopia
69%
Draw
20.3%
São Tomé and Príncipe
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 26.4% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ethiopia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ethiopia's performance.
  • São Tomé and Príncipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Tomé and Príncipe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Ethiopia - São Tomé and Príncipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.57)
    4.64
    (3.4)
    8.82
    (5.5)
    6.1%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ethiopia - São Tomé and Príncipe?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethiopia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ethiopia will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 3-0. Second leg.
    • In this match, Ethiopia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ethiopia - São Tomé and Príncipe were as follows:
    27.03.2026 São Tomé and Príncipe - Ethiopia 0:3
    Latest results of Ethiopia
    12.10.2025 Burkina Faso - Ethiopia 3:1
    08.10.2025 Ethiopia - Guinea Bissau 1:0
    09.09.2025 Sierra Leone - Ethiopia 2:0
    05.09.2025 Egypt - Ethiopia 2:0
    Latest results of São Tomé and Príncipe
    Draw
    2027

    Final
    1DjiboutiSouth Sudan1 : 0, 0 : 4
    2ChadBurundi0 : 4, 0 : 4
    3SomaliaMauritius1 : 0, 0 : 0
    4SeychellesLesotho1 : 2, 0 : 0
    5EritreaEswatini2 : 1, 2 : 0
    6Sao Tome and PrincipeEthiopia0 : 1, 0 : 3