Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.110.34
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
30
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
52
Passes
75% (271/359)83% (411/495)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.110.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.00
Total shots
116
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
64
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1312
Passes
75% (271/359)83% (411/495)
Long passes
38% (31/81)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
57% (58/102)62% (84/135)
Crosses
7% (1/14)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.880.50
Throw ins
2918
Fouls
1213
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4551
Clearances
1623
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.34
Goals prevented
0.00-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Walker A. ,
  • 22', Armour A. 🟨,
  • 31', Karani S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 59', Karani S. , Cence M. ,
  • 64', Armour A. , Scarlett Z. ,
  • 64', Huck T. , Washington T. ,
  • 64', Mensah E. , Jones-Riley J. ,
  • 66', Bryant E. , Burlew R. ,
  • 66', Rodriguez A. , Tainio M. ,
  • 79', Georgallides K. , Barbosa D. ,
  • 82', McLaughlin G. , O'Dwyer C. ,
  • 82', Bolanos J. , Bender J. ,
  • 89', Burlew R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Tainio M. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sarasota Paradise
37.3%
Draw
26.3%
Portland Hearts of Pine
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 26.9% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Sarasota Paradise - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.31)
    3.48
    (3.32)
    2.52
    (2.59)
    9.3%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Sarasota Paradise
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples74219:4514
    2One Knoxville74219:6314
    3Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    4Union Omaha640210:7312
    5Portland Hearts of Pine62317:439
    6Boise522110:648
    7Forward Madison42115:417
    8Westchester SC721412:14-27
    9Richmond Kickers62135:7-27
    10New York Cosmos721412:16-47
    11Sarasota Paradise72146:10-47
    12Greenville42028:716
    13Charlotte Independ41128:624
    14Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    15Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    16AV Alta60427:11-44
    17Corpus Christi FC50235:11-62

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)