Sarmiento de La Banda vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Sosa A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Triverio G. ,
  • 50', 🟨,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Herrera R. ,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de La Banda
59.4%
Draw
26.9%
Independiente Chivilcoy
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.9% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 25.5% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de La Banda's performance.
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Sarmiento de La Banda - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.68)
    3.52
    (3.35)
    6.89
    (4.6)
    5.6%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda - Independiente Chivilcoy?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Ind Chivilcoy (6.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sarmiento de La Banda will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento La Banda (votes: 3 - 75%). Ind Chivilcoy (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sarmiento La Banda has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ind Chivilcoy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ind Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sarmiento La Banda is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Sarmiento La Banda will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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