Sarmiento de Resistencia vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/09/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Gonzalez G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Resistencia
35.4%
Draw
33.9%
Independiente Chivilcoy
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 29% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 28.6% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Resistencia's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Sarmiento de Resistencia - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.06)
    2.68
    (3.13)
    2.96
    (3.39)
    10%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Sarmiento is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • Independiente Chivilcoy is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • Sarmiento is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Independiente Chivilcoy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sarmiento will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0