Sarnese vs Acerrana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:1
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Silvestro M. ,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Rajkovic M. ,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Addessi S. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', 4 - 0, ,
  • 51', 🟥,
  • 61', 5 - 0, ,
  • 65', 6 - 0, ,
  • 88', 6 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Sarnese
65.6%
Draw
22.3%
Acerrana
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 23.3% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 18.3% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarnese's performance.
  • Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Acerrana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarnese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Acerrana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sarnese - Acerrana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.55)
    4.12
    (3.85)
    7.59
    (4.75)
    8.9%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sarnese - Acerrana?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sarnese (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Sarnese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Acerrana has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Sarnese is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Sarnese
    16.11.2025 Nola - Sarnese 3:3
    09.11.2025 Sarnese - Heraclea 0:1
    02.11.2025 Gravina - Sarnese 5:1
    26.10.2025 Sarnese - Città di Fasano 1:1
    19.10.2025 Paganese - Sarnese 2:1
    Latest results of Acerrana
    16.11.2025 Acerrana - Fidelis Andria 0:1
    02.11.2025 Nardo - Acerrana 4:0
    26.10.2025 Acerrana - Afragolese 0:4
    19.10.2025 Nola - Acerrana 4:0
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
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          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation