Result
2:1
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Costanzo P. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Labriola V. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, Rajkovic M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Paganese 46.6% | Draw 27.7% | Sarnese 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Paganese - Sarnese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↓ (2.07) |
3.31 ↑ (3.25) |
3.57 ↑ (3.35) |
9% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Paganese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sarnese is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Paganese could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paganese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Sarnese?
Paganese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarnese won against Paganese?
Sarnese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paganese - Sarnese were as follows:
13.04.2025
Sarnese
-
Paganese
1:0
Latest results of Paganese
Latest results of Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Citta di Fasano | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Paganese | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Heraclea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Fidelis Andria | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Afragolese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Barletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | SS Nola 1925 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Manfredonia | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Gravina | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Real Normanna | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Pompei | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation