Paganese vs Sarnese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Paganese - Sarnese
Result
2:1
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Costanzo P. ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Labriola V. ,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Rajkovic M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Paganese
46.6%
Draw
27.7%
Sarnese
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 28.2% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27.8% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Paganese - Sarnese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.07)
    3.31
    (3.25)
    3.57
    (3.35)
    9%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Paganese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sarnese is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Paganese could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paganese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paganese - Sarnese were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Sarnese - Paganese 1:0
    Latest results of Paganese
    12.10.2025 Pompei - Paganese 0:1
    08.10.2025 Savoia - Paganese 2:1
    28.09.2025 Francavilla - Paganese 1:3
    24.09.2025 Paganese - Acerrana 1:0
    Latest results of Sarnese
    12.10.2025 Sarnese - Real Normanna 0:0
    08.10.2025 Martina Calcio - Sarnese 3:1
    05.10.2025 Ferrandina - Sarnese 2:1
    28.09.2025 Sarnese - Martina Calcio 1:2
    24.09.2025 Manfredonia - Sarnese 4:2
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Citta di Fasano862014:5920
    2Martina Calcio852111:4717
    3Paganese851210:6416
    4Heraclea851210:6416
    5Fidelis Andria842213:7614
    6Afragolese841313:14-113
    7Barletta833211:8312
    8SS Nola 1925832314:13111
    9Virtus Francavilla824212:10210
    10Manfredonia831412:14-210
    11Francavilla82336:7-19
    12Gravina823310:12-29
    13Sarnese822410:13-38
    14A.C.D. Nardo82247:11-48
    15Real Normanna81434:6-27
    16Ferrandina82156:11-57
    17Pompei81341:7-66
    18Acerrana80355:15-103

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation