Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Foggia C. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Isufi A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Sarnese
25.5% | Draw
28.4% | Paganese
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paganese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Sarnese - Paganese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(3.06) |
3.19 ↑
(3.1) |
1.97 ↓
(2.22) |
10.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Sarnese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paganese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Paganese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paganese might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarnese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sarnese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarnese won against Paganese?
Sarnese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Sarnese?
Paganese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarnese - Paganese were as follows:
19.10.2025
Paganese
-
Sarnese
2:1
13.04.2025
Sarnese
-
Paganese
1:0
Latest results of Sarnese
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 38:13 | 25 | 51 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | Paganese | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Gravina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Virtus Francavilla | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 37 |
| 9 | SS Nola 1925 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Fidelis Andria | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:23 | 4 | 34 |
| 11 | Heraclea | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Francavilla | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 25:29 | -4 | 31 |
| 14 | Real Normanna | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 30 |
| 15 | Sarnese | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 16:29 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | Pompei | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 12:29 | -17 | 18 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15:55 | -40 | 13 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
