Result
1:4
02/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 16
- Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (228/308) | 88% (527/597) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 60 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (228/308) | 88% (527/597) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 65% (31/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/112) | 84% (218/261) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Jeahze M. ↓, Hiim A. ↑,
- 42', 0 - 1, De Roeve D. ⚽, Gudmundsson E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Sanyang A. ↓, Job D. ↑,
- 49', Koch M. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Orjasaeter S. ⚽, Tangen H. (A),
- 60', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Knudsen F. ↑,
- 60', Mathisen U. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Finne B. ⚽, Haaland M. (A),
- 72', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Bruseth H. ↑,
- 76', Sorensen J. ↓, Remmem L. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Haaland M. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
- 84', 1 - 4, Gudmundsson E. ⚽,
- 85', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
- 85', Tangen H. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
- 86', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Sande M. ↑,
- 88', Finne B. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sarpsborg 08
18.3% | Draw
25.8% | Brann
55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 08's form might have worsened.Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brann's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+18.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-17.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarpsborg 08 - Brann Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.62 ↑
(2.57) |
5.75 ↑
(3.74) |
2.48 ↓
(2.54) |
-30.7%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Brann?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brann will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 42.8% – 90.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sarpsborg 08 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Sher A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Brann: Fauske Helland E.
(Red Card)
Kornvig E.
(Yellow Cards)
Opsahl S.
(Foot Injury)
Torsvik J.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
Christiansen S.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Brann?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brann won against Sarpsborg 08?
Brann has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Brann were as follows:
16.05.2025
Brann
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:2
01.09.2024
Brann
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:3
20.07.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Brann
1:1
03.09.2023
Brann
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:0
13.05.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Brann
2:1
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 42 |
| 2 | Viking | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 47:26 | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | Brann | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 33 |
| 4 | Tromso | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 27 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | 9 | 25 |
| 9 | Molde | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Bryne | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | Kristiansund | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | HamKam | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21:42 | -21 | 9 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8:46 | -38 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
