Result
3:1
06/07/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 12
- Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (409/480) | 76% (248/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (409/480) | 76% (248/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (36/54) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (156/204) | 66% (55/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (10/45) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Innvaer S. ⚽,
- 24', Bizoza P. ↓, Nyhammer T. ↑,
- 34', Solheim V. ↓, Niyukuri C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Seone I. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Karlsbakk D. ⚽,
- 61', Korkeakunnas T. 🟨,
- 66', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Vestergaard M. ↑,
- 66', Sanyang A. ↓, Sandberg N. ↑,
- 66', Tangen H. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Karlsbakk D. ⚽, Berget J. (A),
- 75', Leite B. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 1, Karlsbakk D. (Pen),
- 87', Innvaer S. ↓, Hope M. ↑,
- 87', Konradsen M. ↓, Alvsaker M. ↑,
- 89', Tebo Uchenna F. ↓, Skuseth N. ↑,
- 90', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Haheim-Elveseter M. ↑,
- 90+1', Berget J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarpsborg 08
68% | Draw
18.4% | Haugesund
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.32) |
5.14 ↓
(5.42) |
7.04 ↓
(9.01) |
5.8%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 74.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sarpsborg 08 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 3.
- Sarpsborg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Haugesund has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Haugesund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sarpsborg is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Haugesund?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haugesund won against Sarpsborg 08?
Haugesund has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund were as follows:
18.08.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Haugesund
2:2
07.07.2024
Haugesund
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:2
30.07.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Haugesund
2:1
08.10.2022
Sarpsborg 08
-
Haugesund
4:0
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Latest results of Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 42:24 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | Tromso | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Brann | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 24 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Bryne | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 13 | Molde | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | HamKam | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17:33 | -16 | 6 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5:39 | -34 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
