Result
3:2
10/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 17
- Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (256/348) | 84% (419/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 52 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (256/348) | 84% (419/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (17/60) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/83) | 83% (194/234) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 19% (6/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Kukleci I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 0, Karlsen H. V. (Pen),
- 56', Wichne E. 🟨,
- 66', Karlsen H. V. ↓, Seone I. ↑,
- 66', Leite B. 🟨,
- 72', Tangen H. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
- 72', Hiim A. ↓, Job D. ↑,
- 73', Sorli S. ↓, Halvorsen V. E. ↑,
- 74', Innvaer S. ↓, Rohd E. ↑,
- 75', Leite B. ↓, Koskela M. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Seone I. ⚽,
- 79', Bruseth H. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 79', Karlsbakk D. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Reinhardsen P. ⚽,
- 88', Hope M. ↓, Niyukuri C. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Rohd E. ⚽, Niyukuri C. (A),
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Berget J. ⚽,
- 90+4', Ndiaye M. 🟥,
- 90+7', Bizoza P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Haugesund
18.2% | Draw
20.9% | Sarpsborg 08
60.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.22 ↑
(4.72) |
4.53 ↑
(4.12) |
1.56 ↓
(1.67) |
5.6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Haugesund will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 0.
- Haugesund has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sarpsborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sarpsborg is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Haugesund: Alvsaker M.
(Injury)
Bondhus A.
(Broken collarbone)
Camara I.
(Knee Injury)
Eskesen J.
(Leg Injury)
Espejord R.
(Thigh Injury)
Fischer M.
(Injury)
Nyhammer T.
(Knee Injury)
Samuelsen M.
(Hip Injury)
Solheim V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
Sher A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Berget J.
(Injury)
Jeahze M.
(Injury)
Tebo Uchenna F.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haugesund won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Haugesund won against Sarpsborg 08?
Haugesund has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Haugesund?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
06.07.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Haugesund
3:1
18.08.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Haugesund
2:2
07.07.2024
Haugesund
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:2
30.07.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Haugesund
2:1
08.10.2022
Sarpsborg 08
-
Haugesund
4:0
Latest results of Haugesund
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 47:26 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 39 |
| 3 | Brann | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 33 |
| 4 | Tromso | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 27 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | 9 | 25 |
| 9 | Molde | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Bryne | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | Kristiansund | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | HamKam | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 17 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 21:37 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8:46 | -38 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
