Tromsø vs Sarpsborg 08 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
02/11/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 27
  • Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.99
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
88% (480/545)86% (420/488)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.99
xG on target (xGOT)
3.070.44
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3322
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
88% (480/545)86% (420/488)
Long passes
59% (32/54)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
73% (95/131)71% (75/105)
Crosses
38% (9/24)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.921.09
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1012
Tackles
67% (6/9)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4043
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.443.07
Goals prevented
0.44-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Ieltsin Camoes (Pen),
  • 26', 3 - 0, Ieltsin Camoes ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Opoku M. , Berget J. ,
  • 64', Nibe A. , Job D. ,
  • 64', Halvorsen V. E. , Sandberg N. ,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Larsen L. O. , Ieltsin Camoes (A),
  • 74', Ieltsin Camoes , Braut D. ,
  • 74', Larsen L. O. , Mikkelsen A. ,
  • 77', Jeahze M. , Christiansen S. ,
  • 77', Wichne E. , Hiim A. ,
  • 80', Hjerto-Dahl J. , Prestmo S. ,
  • 82', Sandberg N. 🟨,
  • 86', Skjaervik V. , Husebo J. ,
  • 86', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. , Innvaer S. ,
  • 90', Koch M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tromsø
63.4%
Draw
20.6%
Sarpsborg 08
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 20.9% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 21.5% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.55)
    4.54
    (4.52)
    5.89
    (5.23)
    5.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 46.4%99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Sarpsborg (4.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Sarpsborg (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 1.
    • Tromsø has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sarpsborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tromsø is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury) Karlsbakk D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Tromsø: Skjaervik V. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Reinhardsen P. (Injury) Sher A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø 0:1
    13.02.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø 3:3
    01.12.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø 2:1
    28.04.2024 Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08 0:3
    26.08.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø 4:0
    Latest results of Tromsø
    26.10.2025 Haugesund - Tromsø 2:3
    19.10.2025 Tromsø - Viking Stavanger 1:3
    04.10.2025 Vålerenga - Tromsø 1:0
    28.09.2025 Tromsø - Strømsgodset 3:1
    21.09.2025 Tromsø - Hamarkameratene 1:0
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aalesund00000:000
    2Brann00000:000
    3Molde00000:000
    4Fredrikstad00000:000
    5HamKam00000:000
    6Tromso00000:000
    7Rosenborg00000:000
    8Viking00000:000
    9Valerenga00000:000
    10Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    11Lillestrom00000:000
    12Sandefjord00000:000
    13Sarpsborg 0800000:000
    14Start00000:000
    15KFUM Oslo00000:000
    16Kristiansund00000:000

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