Sarriana vs Numancia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Garcia D. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Ju ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Jony ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Gning M. (Own goal),
  • 67', 3 - 2, Douglas M. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Sane A. ,

Chances of winning


Sarriana
18.2%
Draw
26.6%
Numancia
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 29.1% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 27.8% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarriana's form might have worsened.
  • Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sarriana - Numancia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.31
    (3.22)
    3.64
    (3.2)
    1.76
    (2.22)
    3.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sarriana - Numancia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Numancia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Numancia (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Numancia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sarriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sarriana has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Numancia is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Sarriana
    27.09.2025 Sámano - Sarriana 1:2
    14.09.2025 Sarriana - Lealtad 2:0
    06.09.2025 Real Oviedo B - Sarriana 3:2
    10.08.2025 UD Ourense - Sarriana 5:0
    Latest results of Numancia
    21.09.2025 Bergantiños - Numancia 3:1
    14.09.2025 Numancia - Rayo Cantabria 2:1
    06.09.2025 Lealtad - Numancia 1:1
    28.08.2025 Numancia - Conquense 1:2
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oviedo B24147338:191949
    2Dep. Fabril24147339:142549
    3Gimnastica Segoviana23127428:21743
    4Coruxo FC24125732:23941
    5Salamanca24117631:22940
    6UD Ourense24108625:23238
    7Numancia24106831:26536
    8Real Avila2497833:37-434
    9Bergantinos2497827:25234
    10Marino de Luanco2379719:14530
    11Atl. Astorga24861025:29-430
    12Valladolid Promesas24771041:43-228
    13Rayo Cantabria24414638:33526
    14Sarriana24741327:32-525
    15Langreo24581120:30-1023
    16Lealtad24561319:32-1321
    17Burgos CF B24491127:42-1521
    18UD Samano24261616:51-3512

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