Numancia vs Sarriana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Buyla J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', De Frutos O. 🟥,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Claveria M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Claveria M. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Vicente I. ,

Chances of winning


Numancia
69.4%
Draw
19.8%
Sarriana
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 23.4% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 22.5% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.
  • Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Numancia - Sarriana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.44)
    4.63
    (3.93)
    8.47
    (7.13)
    9.2%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sarriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Numancia is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Numancia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - Sarriana were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Sarriana - Numancia 4:2
    Latest results of Numancia
    Latest results of Sarriana
    21.03.2026 Sarriana - Langreo 1:1
    15.03.2026 Sarriana - Salamanca 1:0
    07.03.2026 Real Ávila - Sarriana 0:0
    01.03.2026 Sarriana - UD Ourense 3:1
    22.02.2026 Coruxo - Sarriana 1:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril ✔ 31199356:193766
    2Oviedo B311510646:301655
    3Gimnastica Segoviana31139934:31348
    4UD Ourense31139933:31248
    5Real Avila311381045:43247
    6Salamanca311381040:32847
    7Numancia311210939:32746
    8Coruxo FC311361238:33545
    9Bergantinos311191136:33342
    10Langreo311191132:34-242
    11Rayo Cantabria31915754:431142
    12Sarriana311171339:36340
    13Atl. Astorga311171339:42-340
    14Marino de Luanco319121026:24239
    15Valladolid Promesas31991353:58-536
    16Burgos CF B317111336:52-1632
    17Lealtad31761827:47-2027
    18UD Samano ✔ 31362222:75-5315

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    UD Samano is Relegated to