Result
2:0
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Juancho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Pena W. 🟥,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Juancho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Numancia
63.2% | Draw
23.1% | Burgos Promesas
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-18.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+4%)
Numancia - Burgos Promesas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.41) |
3.98 ↑
(3.9) |
6.72 ↓
(7.33) |
8.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Numancia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Burgos Promesas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Burgos Promesas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Numancia is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Numancia won against Burgos Promesas?
Numancia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos Promesas won against Numancia?
Burgos Promesas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - Burgos Promesas were as follows:
22.11.2025
Burgos Promesas
-
Numancia
0:1
Latest results of Numancia
Latest results of Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril ✔ | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:20 | 41 | 72 |
| 2 | Oviedo B ✔ | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 15 | 58 |
| 3 | UD Ourense ✔ | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 55 |
| 4 | Numancia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | -4 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 7 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 13 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 7 | 48 |
| 11 | Atl. Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | -2 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 5 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 1 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | -6 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 0 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B ✔ | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | -17 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad ✔ | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | -64 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Oviedo B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
UD Ourense is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Burgos CF B is Relegated to
Lealtad is Relegated to
UD Samano is Relegated to
