SC DHfK Leipzig vs THW Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
34:41
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 5

Chances of winning


SC DHfK Leipzig
14.9%
Draw
8.5%
THW Kiel
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.6% 11.1% 65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 11.4% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SC DHfK Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC DHfK Leipzig's form might have worsened.
  • THW Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting THW Kiel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC DHfK Leipzig than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC DHfK Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for THW Kiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.43
    (4)
    11.23
    (8.5)
    1.24
    (1.45)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 60.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leipzig will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kiel will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kiel: 64.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): THW Kiel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:32.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 2.
    • Recent form of Leipzig has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kiel is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 515:618. (average 25.8:30.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 237:275. (average 26.3:30.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel were as follows:
    28.05.2025 THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig 39:24
    14.12.2024 SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel 28:32
    29.05.2024 THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig 37:28
    14.10.2023 SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel 35:34
    05.03.2023 THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig 31:34
    Latest results of SC DHfK Leipzig
    Latest results of THW Kiel
    18.09.2025 Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel 34:40
    13.09.2025 THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg 27:25
    03.09.2025 THW Kiel - HSG Wetzlar 34:30
    28.08.2025 Erlangen - THW Kiel 29:31
    23.08.2025 Füchse Berlin - THW Kiel 34:33
    German Bundesliga Handball Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1SC Magdeburg282521911:75552
    2Flensburg-H282134985:88245
    3Fuchse Berlin2822061005:84244
    4Gummersbach271935854:74541
    5Kiel281675869:82339
    6Lemgo281639831:78435
    7MT Melsungen281549820:79834
    8Rhein-Neckar2814311846:81231
    9Goppingen2810612772:81626
    10Hannover-Burgdorf2810414830:84324
    11Hamburg2811116874:89723
    12Stuttgart287813828:86022
    13Erlangen287516793:84319
    14Eisenach287516781:83719
    15Bergischer286319809:89515
    16Minden284420772:91212
    17HSG Wetzlar284321782:89511
    18Leipzig272619739:86210

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