SC DHfK Leipzig vs THW Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Handball German Bundesliga Handball SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel
Result
34:41
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 5

Chances of winning


SC DHfK Leipzig
14.9%
Draw
8.5%
THW Kiel
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.6% 11.1% 65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 11.4% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SC DHfK Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC DHfK Leipzig's form might have worsened.
  • THW Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting THW Kiel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC DHfK Leipzig than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC DHfK Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for THW Kiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.43
    (4)
    11.23
    (8.5)
    1.24
    (1.45)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 60.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leipzig will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kiel will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kiel: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): THW Kiel will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:32.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 2.
    • Recent form of Leipzig has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kiel is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leipzig won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 515:618. (average 25.8:30.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 237:275. (average 26.3:30.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel were as follows:
    28.05.2025 THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig 39:24
    14.12.2024 SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel 28:32
    29.05.2024 THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig 37:28
    14.10.2023 SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel 35:34
    05.03.2023 THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig 31:34
    Latest results of SC DHfK Leipzig
    Latest results of THW Kiel
    18.09.2025 Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel 34:40
    13.09.2025 THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg 27:25
    03.09.2025 THW Kiel - HSG Wetzlar 34:30
    28.08.2025 Erlangen - THW Kiel 29:31
    23.08.2025 Füchse Berlin - THW Kiel 34:33
    German Bundesliga Handball Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Kiel5500173:15210
    2SC Magdeburg5410169:1439
    3Flensburg-H5320182:1518
    4Gummersbach5401148:1378
    5Lemgo5311155:1437
    6Fuchse Berlin5302162:1506
    7Rhein-Neckar5302142:1406
    8Hamburg5212158:1585
    9Goppingen5131135:1405
    10Erlangen5122153:1524
    11Stuttgart5122148:1534
    12Eisenach5203143:1494
    13Hannover-Burgdorf5203150:1594
    14MT Melsungen5113140:1473
    15HSG Wetzlar5113137:1463
    16Minden5113132:1503
    17Leipzig5014138:1551
    18Bergischer5005140:1800

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