Result
27:34
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
HSV Hamburg
29.5% | Draw
10.6% | THW Kiel
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HSV Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)The ML Model estimate for HSV Hamburg aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05
(3.05) |
8.75 ↓
(9.19) |
1.53 ↑
(1.51) |
9.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:32.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Hamburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kiel is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 499:587. (average 25:29.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 208:240. (average 23.1:26.7).
How many head-to-head matches has HSV Hamburg won against THW Kiel?
HSV Hamburg has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has THW Kiel won against HSV Hamburg?
THW Kiel has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HSV Hamburg - THW Kiel were as follows:
13.09.2025
THW Kiel
-
HSV Hamburg
27:25
31.05.2025
THW Kiel
-
HSV Hamburg
38:37
11.10.2024
HSV Hamburg
-
THW Kiel
25:31
03.10.2024
HSV Hamburg
-
THW Kiel
27:30
12.04.2024
HSV Hamburg
-
THW Kiel
28:28
Latest results of HSV Hamburg
Latest results of THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | SC Magdeburg | 29 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 941:781 | 54 |
| 2 | Flensburg-H | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 1025:912 | 47 |
| 3 | Fuchse Berlin | 29 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 1033:868 | 46 |
| 4 | Gummersbach | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 946:833 | 44 |
| 5 | Kiel | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 922:884 | 40 |
| 6 | Lemgo | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 889:846 | 36 |
| 7 | MT Melsungen | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 872:868 | 34 |
| 8 | Rhein-Neckar | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 906:866 | 33 |
| 9 | Goppingen | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 833:875 | 29 |
| 10 | Hamburg | 30 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 936:946 | 27 |
| 11 | Hannover-Burgdorf | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 889:903 | 25 |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 880:921 | 22 |
| 13 | Eisenach | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 815:866 | 21 |
| 14 | Erlangen | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 845:904 | 19 |
| 15 | Bergischer | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 868:957 | 17 |
| 16 | HSG Wetzlar | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 848:949 | 15 |
| 17 | Minden | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 833:974 | 14 |
| 18 | Leipzig | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 828:956 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League
Promotion ~ European League
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
