Result
4:0
23/04/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 29
- Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Australia | beIN Sports |
Canada | Sportsnet |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu |
France | beIN Sports Max |
Greece | Nova Sports |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Eleven Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
Freiburg 52.8% | Draw 26.3% | Schalke 04 20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Freiburg - Schalke 04 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↑ (1.71) |
3.64 ↓ (3.78) |
4.6 ↓ (4.84) |
4.5% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Schalke 04?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 33 - 75%). Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 62.2% – 87.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Freiburg has the most likely position - 5 (32.11%), project points - 58, currently - 50, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (35%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (40.24%), project points - 30, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (64%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 63, big importance 83, big match rating 73. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 4.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Freiburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Freiburg is a favorite.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Eggestein M.
(Yellow Cards)
Gregoritsch M.
(Ankle Injury)
Gulde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Schalke: Balanta E.
(Knee Injury)
Brunner C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Kozuki S.
(Ankle Injury)
Krauss T.
(Yellow Cards)
Polter S.
(Knee Injury)
Yoshida M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Schalke: Fahrmann R.
(Groin Injury)
Skarke T.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-13.
- Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Schalke 04?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Freiburg?
Schalke 04 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Schalke 04 were as follows:
30.10.2022
Schalke 04
-
Freiburg
0:2
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Schalke 04
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 85:21 | 64 | 60 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 49:22 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 43:28 | 15 | 39 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 46:49 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 28 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Mainz | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 22 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 33:49 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:44 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga