Freiburg vs Schalke 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Freiburg - Schalke 04
Result
4:0
23/04/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
canadaCanadaSportsnet
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
greeceGreeceNova Sports
hungaryHungaryArena 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Freiburg
52.8%
Draw
26.3%
Schalke 04
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 25.1% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 24.4% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Freiburg - Schalke 04 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.71)
    3.64
    (3.78)
    4.6
    (4.84)
    4.5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Schalke 04?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 33 - 75%). Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 62.2%87.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Freiburg has the most likely position - 5 (32.11%), project points - 58, currently - 50, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (35%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (40.24%), project points - 30, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (64%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 63, big importance 83, big match rating 73. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 4.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Freiburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Freiburg is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Eggestein M. (Yellow Cards) Gregoritsch M. (Ankle Injury) Gulde M. (Thigh Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Schalke: Balanta E. (Knee Injury) Brunner C. (Shoulder Injury) Heekeren J. (Knee Injury) Kozuki S. (Ankle Injury) Krauss T. (Yellow Cards) Polter S. (Knee Injury) Yoshida M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Schalke: Fahrmann R. (Groin Injury) Skarke T. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Schalke 04 were as follows:
    30.10.2022 Schalke 04 - Freiburg 0:2
    Latest results of Freiburg
    16.04.2023 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 1:2
    08.04.2023 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 0:1
    04.04.2023 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 1:2
    01.04.2023 Freiburg - Hertha Berlin 1:1
    19.03.2023 Mainz - Freiburg 1:1
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga