Result
5:3
21/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 23
- Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, ESPN |
 Austria | RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | RTL, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.17 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (280/391) | 77% (337/438) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.17 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.35 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (280/391) | 77% (337/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 51% (41/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (101/155) | 54% (42/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 4.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Hugonet J. (Own goal),
- 17', 1 - 1, Nollenberger A. ⚽, Zukowski M. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Dzeko E. ⚽, Aouchiche A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Pesch N. ↓, Musonda L. ↑,
- 46', Mathisen M. ↓, Gnaka S. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Karaman K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 53', 3 - 2, Zukowski M. ⚽,
- 56', Becker T. 🟨,
- 65', 4 - 2, Ljubicic D. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
- 68', 5 - 2, Karaman K. ⚽,
- 72', Becker T. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
- 72', Ljubicic D. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 72', Kurucay H. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
- 76', Atik B. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,
- 76', Hercher P. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
- 76', Dzeko E. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
- 81', Aouchiche A. ↓, Wallentowitz M. ↑,
- 84', 5 - 3, Zukowski M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Nollenberger A. ↓, Bockhorn H. ↑,
- 90+6', Karaman K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Schalke 04
45.2% | Draw
25.4% | Magdeburg
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-1%)
Schalke 04 - Magdeburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.04) |
3.65 ↑
(3.59) |
3.23 ↑
(3.2) |
5.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Magdeburg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Schalke (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Schalke (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Magdeburg (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Schalke 04 will win
(32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Schalke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Schalke: Becker V.
(Knock)
Gantenbein A.
(Calf Injury)
Hojlund E.
(Heel Injury)
Kalas T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Lasme B.
(Knee Injury)
Leonard D.
(Ankle Injury)
Matriciani H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T.
(Inactive)
Heber D.
(Inactive)
Hyrylainen L.
(Shin Injury)
Loric S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Magdeburg: Holmstrom A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Magdeburg?
Schalke 04 has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Magdeburg won against Schalke 04?
Magdeburg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Magdeburg were as follows:
20.09.2025
Magdeburg
-
Schalke 04
0:2
01.02.2025
Schalke 04
-
Magdeburg
2:5
25.08.2024
Magdeburg
-
Schalke 04
2:2
24.02.2024
Magdeburg
-
Schalke 04
3:0
16.09.2023
Schalke 04
-
Magdeburg
4:3
Latest results of Schalke 04
Latest results of Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 41:25 | 16 | 58 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 51:34 | 17 | 57 |
| 3 | Hannover | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 50:34 | 16 | 50 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 43:34 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 47:53 | -6 | 40 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Bochum | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:41 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 27:45 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | Magdeburg | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 46:55 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 30 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 40:61 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
