Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 16
  • Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1, Sport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.96
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
07
Passes
63% (166/265)81% (398/493)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.391.19
Total shots
75
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
30
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
07
Touches in opposition box
1118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
63% (166/265)81% (398/493)
Long passes
27% (12/45)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
51% (52/101)55% (57/103)
Crosses
13% (1/8)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.42
Throw-ins
1533
Fouls
1816
Tackles
52% (14/27)71% (10/14)
Duels won
7364
Clearances
4120
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.190.39
Goals prevented
1.19-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wallentowitz M. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
  • 46', Antwi-Adjei C. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Becker V. ⚽, Karaman K. (A),
  • 54', Kurucay H. 🟨,
  • 66', Schallenberg R. 🟨,
  • 76', Becker F. O. ↓, Stepanov A. ↑,
  • 77', Kurucay H. ↓, Becker T. ↑,
  • 77', Schallenberg R. ↓, Popperl P. ↑,
  • 86', Becker V. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
  • 87', Markhiev A. 🟨,
  • 89', Grimaldi A. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
  • 89', Drexler T. ↓, Baack T. ↑,
  • 90+5', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Gomis C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Schalke 04
50.1%		Draw
26.2%		Nürnberg
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 23.8% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 23.1% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Schalke 04's form might have worsened.
  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Schalke 04, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
    •

    Schalke 04 - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.88 ↑
    (1.67)    		 3.58 ↓
    (3.97)    		 4.03 ↓
    (4.84)    		 5.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 53.6% – 86.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Schalke (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Schalke (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Schalke (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Schalke (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Schalke (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Schalke (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Schalke (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Schalke (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Schalke (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Schalke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Schalke is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Becker T. (Knee Injury) Donkor A. (Inactive) Gantenbein A. (Inactive) Heekeren J. (Inactive) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Remmert P. (Inactive) Younes A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Grzywacz E. (Knee Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Schalke: Schallenberg R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Danilo Soares (Surgery)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Nürnberg were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 3:1
    10.08.2024 Nürnberg - Schalke 04 3:1
    13.04.2024 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 2:0
    04.11.2023 Nürnberg - Schalke 04 1:2
    10.01.2023 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 0:1
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    05.12.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04 0:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Preußen Münster - Schalke 04 0:0 ✺
    13.11.2025 Twente - Schalke 04 1:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    07.12.2025 Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth 2:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Magdeburg - Nürnberg 3:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld 2:0 ✺
    07.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg 1:2 ✺
    01.11.2025 Nürnberg - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:1 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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