Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League
Result
3:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
55
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
97
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Embleton E. ⚽,
  • 26', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽, Whitehall D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', Rowley J. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Feeney M. (A),
  • 58', Dausch A. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
  • 68', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 71', Barrows R. ↓, Starbuck J. ↑,
  • 71', Rowley J. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
  • 71', Whitehall D. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
  • 74', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 80', Galvin R. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
  • 80', Embleton E. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Ajiboye D. ⚽,
  • 86', Wearne S. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
  • 87', Armstrong L. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
  • 90+4', Ajiboye D. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Beestin A. ⚽,
  • 90+8', Beestin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
38.8%		Draw
26.6%		Scunthorpe United
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 25.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 26.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
  • Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scunthorpe United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.4 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.5 ↓
    (3.58)    		 2.67 ↓
    (3.41)    		 7.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 3.
    • Recent form of Carlisle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Scunthorpe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United 0:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    07.02.2026 Rochdale - Carlisle United 1:0
    31.01.2026 Carlisle United - Altrincham 3:1
    21.01.2026 Carlisle United - York City 0:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Solihull Moors - Carlisle United 3:3 ✺
    10.01.2026 Chatham Town - Carlisle United 1:0
    Latest results of Scunthorpe United
    07.02.2026 Scunthorpe United - Southend United 1:0
    31.01.2026 Scunthorpe United - Horsham 1:2
    24.01.2026 Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers 3:2 ✺
    20.01.2026 Boreham Wood - Scunthorpe United 1:3
    17.01.2026 Morecambe - Scunthorpe United 2:2 ✺
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale38294574:294591
    2York City382783100:366489
    3Carlisle38236969:462375
    4Boreham Wood38218977:522571
    5Scunthorpe382010868:531570
    6Forest Green381811962:451765
    7Southend361710961:352661
    8FC Halifax381781359:55459
    9Hartlepool3714121143:40354
    10Woking3613101353:44949
    11Wealdstone371391552:59-748
    12Tamworth381391650:63-1348
    13Boston Utd3812111550:55-547
    14Solihull Moors3711111561:62-144
    15Sutton3810131553:63-1043
    16Altrincham371342044:56-1243
    17Aldershot371261961:70-942
    18Eastleigh381191848:67-1942
    19Yeovil371252038:53-1541
    20Brackley Town389101936:59-2337
    21Gateshead381072145:79-3437
    22Morecambe388102055:78-2334
    23Braintree388102029:57-2834
    24Truro38672535:67-3225

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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