Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League
Result
3:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
55
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
97
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Embleton E. ⚽,
  • 26', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽, Whitehall D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', Rowley J. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Feeney M. (A),
  • 58', Dausch A. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
  • 68', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 71', Barrows R. ↓, Starbuck J. ↑,
  • 71', Rowley J. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
  • 71', Whitehall D. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
  • 74', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 80', Galvin R. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
  • 80', Embleton E. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Ajiboye D. ⚽,
  • 86', Wearne S. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
  • 87', Armstrong L. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
  • 90+4', Ajiboye D. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Beestin A. ⚽,
  • 90+8', Beestin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
38.8%		Draw
26.6%		Scunthorpe United
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 25.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 26.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
  • Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scunthorpe United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.4 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.5 ↓
    (3.58)    		 2.67 ↓
    (3.41)    		 7.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 3.
    • Recent form of Carlisle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Scunthorpe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United 0:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    07.02.2026 Rochdale - Carlisle United 1:0
    31.01.2026 Carlisle United - Altrincham 3:1
    24.01.2026 Aldershot Town - Carlisle United Postponed ✺
    21.01.2026 Carlisle United - York City 0:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Solihull Moors - Carlisle United 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of Scunthorpe United
    07.02.2026 Scunthorpe United - Southend United 1:0
    31.01.2026 Scunthorpe United - Horsham 1:2
    24.01.2026 Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers 3:2 ✺
    20.01.2026 Boreham Wood - Scunthorpe United 1:3
    17.01.2026 Morecambe - Scunthorpe United 2:2 ✺
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City34248291:325980
    2Rochdale33254463:234079
    3Carlisle34215862:412168
    4Boreham Wood33197763:392464
    5Scunthorpe33179757:461160
    6Forest Green351611858:421659
    7Southend31157952:292352
    8FC Halifax351571353:51252
    9Hartlepool341312942:37551
    10Boston Utd3511101446:51-543
    11Solihull Moors331191355:51442
    12Aldershot331261560:61-142
    13Tamworth331191342:52-1042
    14Wealdstone321091338:51-1339
    15Eastleigh341091543:58-1539
    16Woking311081341:38338
    17Yeovil331151735:47-1238
    18Altrincham341141939:54-1537
    19Brackley Town32991428:42-1436
    20Sutton338111446:54-835
    21Braintree34791824:49-2530
    22Morecambe34691946:74-2827
    23Gateshead32752039:74-3526
    24Truro33662131:58-2724

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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