Scunthorpe United vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United
Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDAZN
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
australiaAustraliaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
belarusBelarusDAZN
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
bulgariaBulgariaDAZN
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaDAZN
croatiaCroatiaDAZN
cyprusCyprusDAZN
czech-republicCzech-republicDAZN
denmarkDenmarkDAZN
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
finlandFinlandDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceDAZN
hong-kongHong-kongDAZN
hungaryHungaryDAZN
indiaIndiaDAZN
indonesiaIndonesiaDAZN
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanDAZN
latviaLatviaDAZN
lithuaniaLithuaniaDAZN
malaysiaMalaysiaDAZN
mexicoMexicoDAZN
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaDAZN
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaDAZN
norwayNorwayDAZN
paraguayParaguayDAZN
philippinesPhilippinesDAZN
polandPolandDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDAZN
russiaRussiaDAZN
serbiaSerbiaDAZN
sloveniaSloveniaDAZN
south-africaSouth-africaDAZN
south-koreaSouth-koreaDAZN
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenDAZN
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
thailandThailandDAZN
ukraineUkraineDAZN
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
uzbekistanUzbekistanDAZN
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN
vietnamVietnamDAZN

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
03
Corner Kicks
88
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
10
Total shots
710
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
77
Corner Kicks
88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Hayden A. , Davies A. (A),
  • 23', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 25', Linney R. 🟨,
  • 27', Gilliead A. 🟨,
  • 29', Boyce A. 🟨,
  • 37', Harper C. 🟨,
  • 40', Boyce A. 🟥,
  • 42', Dawson J. , Belehouan J. ,
  • 45+5', Evans W. 🟨,
  • 45+9', Luamba J. , Grant J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sellars-Fleming T. , Whitehall D. ,
  • 53', Westbrooke Z. 🟨,
  • 76', Westbrooke Z. , Howe D. ,
  • 77', Gilliead A. , Armstrong L. ,
  • 78', Linney R. , Williams J. ,
  • 84', Beestin A. 🟨,
  • 85', Denton T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Wearne S. , Whelan C. ,

Chances of winning


Scunthorpe United
20.3%
Draw
30.5%
Carlisle United
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 26.8% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 25.7% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scunthorpe United's form might have worsened.
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlisle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.01
    (2.87)
    3.94
    (3.45)
    2.24
    (2.25)
    -15.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 1.
    • Scunthorpe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Carlisle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    Latest results of Scunthorpe United
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale12100224:71730
    2Forest Green1485121:81329
    3Carlisle1492325:151029
    4Scunthorpe1384124:111328
    5Boreham Wood1384125:131228
    6FC Halifax1473422:21124
    7York City1264224:121222
    8Southend1364320:11922
    9Tamworth1464417:18-122
    10Wealdstone1454520:18219
    11Yeovil1461717:20-319
    12Hartlepool1446413:10318
    13Eastleigh1353515:15018
    14Gateshead1452722:32-1017
    15Boston Utd1344514:17-316
    16Brackley Town1344510:13-316
    17Solihull Moors1435615:26-1114
    18Woking1434717:19-213
    19Aldershot1434727:31-413
    20Altrincham1441917:22-513
    21Braintree1433813:22-912
    22Sutton1415815:25-108
    23Truro14221013:24-118
    24Morecambe1222816:36-208

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation