Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League
Result
3:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
55
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
97
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Embleton E. ⚽,
  • 26', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽, Whitehall D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', Rowley J. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Feeney M. (A),
  • 58', Dausch A. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
  • 68', Wearne S. 🟨,
  • 71', Barrows R. ↓, Starbuck J. ↑,
  • 71', Rowley J. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
  • 71', Whitehall D. ↓, Ubaezuonu C. ↑,
  • 74', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 80', Galvin R. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
  • 80', Embleton E. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Ajiboye D. ⚽,
  • 86', Wearne S. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
  • 87', Armstrong L. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
  • 90+4', Ajiboye D. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Beestin A. ⚽,
  • 90+8', Beestin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
38.8%		Draw
26.6%		Scunthorpe United
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 25.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 26.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
  • Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scunthorpe United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.4 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.5 ↓
    (3.58)    		 2.67 ↓
    (3.41)    		 7.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 3.
    • Recent form of Carlisle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Scunthorpe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United 0:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    07.02.2026 Rochdale - Carlisle United 1:0
    31.01.2026 Carlisle United - Altrincham 3:1
    21.01.2026 Carlisle United - York City 0:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Solihull Moors - Carlisle United 3:3 ✺
    10.01.2026 Chatham Town - Carlisle United 1:0
    Latest results of Scunthorpe United
    07.02.2026 Scunthorpe United - Southend United 1:0
    31.01.2026 Scunthorpe United - Horsham 1:2
    24.01.2026 Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers 3:2 ✺
    20.01.2026 Boreham Wood - Scunthorpe United 1:3
    17.01.2026 Morecambe - Scunthorpe United 2:2 ✺
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City433184109:4069101
    2Rochdale43316683:384599
    3Carlisle43268980:512986
    4Boreham Wood432491088:583081
    5Scunthorpe432212975:601578
    6Forest Green4321121073:492475
    7Southend4120111070:403071
    8FC Halifax431991566:60666
    9Hartlepool4216141247:49-262
    10Tamworth4316101757:68-1158
    11Woking4214141461:52956
    12Wealdstone421591863:68-554
    13Solihull Moors4213121767:68-151
    14Yeovil431552347:61-1450
    15Boston Utd4212131755:65-1049
    16Altrincham431462349:63-1448
    17Sutton4311141858:73-1547
    18Gateshead431382252:84-3247
    19Aldershot421372268:80-1246
    20Eastleigh4312102155:78-2346
    21Brackley Town439122238:70-3239
    22Morecambe439112365:90-2538
    23Braintree ✔ 438122335:66-3136
    24Truro ✔ 437102640:70-3031

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Braintree is Relegated to
    Truro is Relegated to
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