Result
2:1
18/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (373/434) | 82% (327/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (373/434) | 82% (327/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 67% (51/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Cazares (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Cazares ⚽, Santamaria T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Montenegro B. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 46', Patino D. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 47', Sornoza J. 🟨,
- 53', Segura E. 🟨,
- 59', Spina A. L. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 59', Zambrano C. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Miranda B. ⚽, Ciccioli U. (A),
- 69', Sornoza J. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 69', Cazares ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
- 69', Cortez G. ↓, Loor L. ↑,
- 72', Mina A. 🟨,
- 75', Rodriguez A. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 81', Mendez J. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
- 88', Mina A. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 90+1', Villar G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
52.9% | Draw
26.9% | SD Aucas
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.83) |
3.47 ↑
(3.25) |
4.56 ↑
(4.5) |
7.6%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aucas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
- Ind del Valle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Aucas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the team to beat.
- We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against SD Aucas?
Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Independiente del Valle?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas were as follows:
28.03.2025
SD Aucas
-
Independiente del Valle
1:2
01.09.2024
SD Aucas
-
Independiente del Valle
0:2
24.03.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
SD Aucas
1:1
11.11.2023
SD Aucas
-
Independiente del Valle
2:0
02.06.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
SD Aucas
2:0
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
