Independiente del Valle vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 4
  • Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chileChileZapping Sports
ecuadorEcuadorTeleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.510.77
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
57
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
57
Passes
89% (376/421)86% (308/358)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.510.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.44
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
105
Passes
89% (376/421)86% (308/358)
Long passes
57% (27/47)59% (29/49)
Passes in final third
70% (76/108)73% (43/59)
Crosses
9% (2/22)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.38
Throw ins
1617
Fouls
510
Tackles
67% (14/21)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
1418
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
1.440.72
Goals prevented
-0.56-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Sornoza J. , Viacava J. (A),
  • 17', Loor L. 🟥,
  • 21', Cuero Q. C. A. 🟥,
  • 23', Bolanos R. , Porozo S. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Pata E. , Romero Padilla D. A. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Miranda B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Miranda B. , Mena A. (A),
  • 60', Miranda B. 🟨,
  • 69', Sornoza J. , Lerma J. ,
  • 69', Mercado P. , Ochoa Y. ,
  • 69', Reasco D. , Angulo J. ,
  • 74', Pata E. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 76', Viacava J. 🟨,
  • 76', Mena A. , Vera M. ,
  • 85', Guzman P. 🟨,
  • 85', Guzman P. , Serpa T. ,
  • 85', Miranda B. , Arroyo L. ,
  • 86', Perello M. , Vasquez Y. ,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
56.1%
Draw
25.7%
SD Aucas
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 23.7% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.55)
    3.61
    (3.95)
    5.02
    (5.87)
    8.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
    • Aucas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas 2:1
    28.03.2025 SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle 1:2
    01.09.2024 SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle 0:2
    24.03.2024 Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas 1:1
    11.11.2023 SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle 2:0
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle43109:3610
    2Macara52304:139
    3U. Catolica42205:148
    4Libertad52215:418
    5Barcelona SC52213:218
    6LDU Quito52126:607
    7Dep. Cuenca52124:407
    8Delfin52123:307
    9Tecnico U41214:405
    10Guayaquil City51222:4-25
    11Manta51132:5-34
    12Aucas40314:5-13
    13Mushuc Runa40312:4-23
    14Leones del Norte50322:7-53
    15Orense40224:6-22
    16Emelec31113:301

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