Independiente del Valle vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	0.43
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
86% (373/434)	82% (327/398)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.42	0.08
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
12	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
9	15
Passes
86% (373/434)	82% (327/398)
Long passes
52% (22/42)	40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
73% (74/102)	67% (51/76)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.50
Throw-ins
18	14
Fouls
15	9
Tackles
73% (11/15)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
35	54
Clearances
19	18
Interceptions
17	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.08	1.42
Goals prevented
-0.92	-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Cazares (A),
42', 2 - 0, Cazares ⚽, Santamaria T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Montenegro B. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
46', Patino D. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
47', Sornoza J. 🟨,
53', Segura E. 🟨,
59', Spina A. L. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
59', Zambrano C. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Miranda B. ⚽, Ciccioli U. (A),
69', Sornoza J. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
69', Cazares ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
69', Cortez G. ↓, Loor L. ↑,
72', Mina A. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez A. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
81', Mendez J. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
88', Mina A. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
90+1', Villar G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Independiente del Valle
52.9%

Draw
26.9%

SD Aucas
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	4.56 ↑ (4.5)	7.6% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aucas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
Ind del Valle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Aucas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ind del Valle is the team to beat.
We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against SD Aucas?

Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Independiente del Valle?

SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas were as follows:

28.03.2025 SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle 1:2

01.09.2024 SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle 0:2

24.03.2024 Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas 1:1

11.11.2023 SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle 2:0

02.06.2023 Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas 2:0

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

15.07.2025 Independiente del Valle - Vasco da Gama 4:0 ✺

11.07.2025 Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

22.06.2025 LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle 1:1 ✺

Latest results of SD Aucas

14.07.2025 SD Aucas - El Nacional 1:0 ✺

06.07.2025 SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará 1:4 ✺

30.06.2025 Vinotinto - SD Aucas 0:1 ✺

22.06.2025 SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca 1:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	24	14	8	2	43:19	24	50
2	Barcelona SC	24	13	5	6	37:27	10	44
3	LDU Quito	24	12	7	5	40:23	17	43
4	Aucas	24	11	5	8	33:33	0	38
5	Orense	24	11	5	8	26:27	-1	38
6	Libertad	24	10	7	7	36:31	5	37
7	Dep. Cuenca	24	10	6	8	28:25	3	36
8	U. Catolica	24	9	8	7	45:32	13	35
9	Emelec	24	8	8	8	23:28	-5	32
10	Delfin	24	6	10	8	24:34	-10	28
11	EL Nacional	24	6	7	11	27:35	-8	25
12	Tecnico U	24	6	7	11	24:34	-10	25
13	Vinotinto	24	6	6	12	29:34	-5	24
14	Macara	24	5	9	10	21:26	-5	24
15	Manta	24	5	9	10	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa	24	4	5	15	26:43	-17	17

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )