Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 1
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Ecuavisa |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (348/414) | 82% (240/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (348/414) | 82% (240/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (25/53) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (94/125) | 68% (42/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Cela A. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 27', Negro B. ↓, Flor F. ↑,
- 35', Formento R. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 0, Miranda B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Minda T. ↓, Angulo C. ↑,
- 50', Davila E. 🟨,
- 52', Tapiero S. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Gamboa M. ⚽,
- 63', Zova A. ↓, Olaya V. ↑,
- 70', Mena A. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
- 71', Guzman P. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
- 77', Olaya V. 🟥,
- 78', Vera M. ↓, Morales S. ↑,
- 83', Gonzalez J. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
- 83', Carrillo R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 90', Spina A. L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Miranda B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Tapiero S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
44.9% | Draw
29.5% | Mushuc Runa
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Aucas's form might have worsened.Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mushuc Runa's recent form is better than expected.
SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.67) |
3.14 ↓
(3.42) |
3.62 ↓
(4.67) |
8%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.
- Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Aucas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Mushuc Runa?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against SD Aucas?
Mushuc Runa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
16.08.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
SD Aucas
1:0
27.04.2025
SD Aucas
-
Mushuc Runa
2:0
15.09.2024
SD Aucas
-
Mushuc Runa
1:2
30.03.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
SD Aucas
0:2
29.10.2023
SD Aucas
-
Mushuc Runa
4:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Libertad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Tecnico U | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Delfin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Aucas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Orense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Emelec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Manta | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Leones del Norte | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
