Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (203/293) | 59% (143/242) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (203/293) | 59% (143/242) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (31/69) | 37% (30/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (68/101) | 47% (63/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Quintero D. ↓, Parrales J. ↑,
- 35', Briones R. 🟨,
- 39', Segura E. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Montenegro B. ⚽, Mina J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Orejuela C. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 46', Bryan Angulo ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 50', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 62', Mina G. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 72', Vazquez J. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
- 77', Parrales J. 🟨,
- 79', Mina A. 🟨,
- 80', Mina A. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
- 80', Tapiero S. ↓, Rigoleto M. ↑,
- 90+3', Briones R. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 90+10', 2 - 0, Ciccioli U. ⚽, Carcelen Carabali M. A. (A),
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
47.2% | Draw
27.5% | Mushuc Runa
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.84) |
3.39 ↓
(3.57) |
3.61 ↓
(3.98) |
7.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Aucas won 2.
- Recent matches Aucas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mushuc Runa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mushuc Runa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Aucas will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Aucas won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30:19 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Aucas won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Mushuc Runa?
SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against SD Aucas?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
15.09.2024
SD Aucas
-
Mushuc Runa
1:2
30.03.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
SD Aucas
0:2
29.10.2023
SD Aucas
-
Mushuc Runa
4:0
20.05.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
SD Aucas
0:0
09.10.2022
SD Aucas
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
