Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (268/356) | 74% (286/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (268/356) | 74% (286/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (63/102) | 56% (63/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Herrera A. ⚽, Silva R. (A),
- 23', Vazquez J. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 34', Parrales M. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Molina N. ⚽, Herrera A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 1, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ⚽, Zambrano C. (A),
- 52', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
- 55', Olaya V. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 55', Ciccioli U. ↓, Patino D. ↑,
- 62', Briones R. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 74', Molina N. ↓, Vasquez S. ↑,
- 74', Mena A. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 82', Vinan B. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
- 82', Herrera A. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 85', Mina A. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orense
40.1% | Draw
29.3% | SD Aucas
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Orense - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.36) |
3.19 ↑
(3.18) |
3.02 ↑
(2.97) |
7.1%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orense - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
- In recent matches, Orense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aucas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against SD Aucas?
Orense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Orense?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - SD Aucas were as follows:
02.08.2024
Orense
-
SD Aucas
4:0
02.03.2024
SD Aucas
-
Orense
2:0
03.12.2023
Orense
-
SD Aucas
1:2
23.06.2023
SD Aucas
-
Orense
2:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
