Result
0:0
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (375/441) | 82% (332/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (375/441) | 82% (332/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (62/93) | 63% (58/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Porozo S. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 56', Arturia G. 🟨,
- 57', Almagro A. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 58', Olinick A. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 76', Burgoa V. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 76', Mina S. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
- 78', Pepinos E. 🟨,
- 85', Ciccioli U. ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
- 90', Mena A. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 90', Vinan B. ↓, Mosquera Ramirez Y. J. ↑,
- 90+8', Molina N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
49.4% | Draw
27.5% | Orense
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Aucas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
SD Aucas - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.78) |
3.37 ↓
(3.41) |
4.04 ↓
(4.51) |
6.8%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Orense?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Orense will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orense: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Orense (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.
- Aucas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Orense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aucas is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Orense?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against SD Aucas?
Orense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Orense were as follows:
24.05.2025
Orense
-
SD Aucas
2:1
02.08.2024
Orense
-
SD Aucas
4:0
02.03.2024
SD Aucas
-
Orense
2:0
03.12.2023
Orense
-
SD Aucas
1:2
23.06.2023
SD Aucas
-
Orense
2:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
