Result
0:1
30/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 18
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/424) | 79% (284/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/424) | 79% (284/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (65/113) | 63% (70/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Mera F. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 20', 0 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽, Cano L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mina A. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 46', Aguirre A. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 63', Spina A. L. 🟨,
- 65', Julio M. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 66', Almagro A. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 70', Mina A. 🟨,
- 78', Larotonda C. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 80', Cano L. ↓, Patino D. ↑,
- 82', Piedra H. 🟨,
- 89', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 89', Mina A. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
27% | Draw
28.2% | SD Aucas
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vinotinto - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(3.09) |
3.28 ↑
(3.22) |
2.08 ↓
(2.34) |
8.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Recent form of Vinotinto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aucas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aucas might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against SD Aucas?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Vinotinto?
SD Aucas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - SD Aucas were as follows:
02.03.2025
SD Aucas
-
Vinotinto
2:2
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
