Vinotinto vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Vinotinto - SD Aucas
Result
0:1
30/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 18
  • Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.68
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
80% (338/424)79% (284/358)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.93
Total shots
68
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
115
Passes
80% (338/424)79% (284/358)
Long passes
48% (29/60)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
58% (65/113)63% (70/111)
Crosses
29% (5/17)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.74
Throw-ins
2011
Fouls
511
Tackles
67% (6/9)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3438
Clearances
1725
Interceptions
135
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.930.00
Goals prevented
-0.280.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Mera F. , Mina A. ,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Montenegro B. , Cano L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mina A. , Melo A. ,
  • 46', Aguirre A. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 63', Spina A. L. 🟨,
  • 65', Julio M. , Coba K. ,
  • 66', Almagro A. , Sanabria M. ,
  • 70', Mina A. 🟨,
  • 78', Larotonda C. , Lugo J. ,
  • 80', Cano L. , Patino D. ,
  • 82', Piedra H. 🟨,
  • 89', Montenegro B. , Zambrano C. ,
  • 89', Mina A. , Pepinos E. ,

Chances of winning


Vinotinto
27%
Draw
28.2%
SD Aucas
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 29.3% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 28.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vinotinto - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.09)
    3.28
    (3.22)
    2.08
    (2.34)
    8.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vinotinto - SD Aucas?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • Recent form of Vinotinto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aucas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aucas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - SD Aucas were as follows:
    02.03.2025 SD Aucas - Vinotinto 2:2
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1
    17.05.2025 SD Aucas - Manta 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle27178250:203059
    2Barcelona SC27145840:32847
    3LDU Quito27129642:261645
    4Dep. Cuenca27127832:26643
    5U. Catolica27119751:351642
    6Libertad27119740:34642
    7Orense27126931:31042
    8Aucas271151136:39-338
    9Emelec27108926:30-438
    10EL Nacional27971132:35-334
    11Macara277101026:28-231
    12Delfin276111025:40-1529
    13Manta275101231:45-1425
    14Tecnico U27671424:41-1725
    15Vinotinto27661529:38-924
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 27651630:45-1523

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )