Result
0:1
30/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 18
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.68 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
80% (338/424) | 79% (284/358) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.68 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 0.93 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
80% (338/424) | 79% (284/358) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (29/60) | 47% (28/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (65/113) | 63% (70/111) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (5/17) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.53 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.93 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.28 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Mera F. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 20', 0 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽, Cano L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mina A. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 46', Aguirre A. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 63', Spina A. L. 🟨,
- 65', Julio M. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 66', Almagro A. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 70', Mina A. 🟨,
- 78', Larotonda C. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 80', Cano L. ↓, Patino D. ↑,
- 82', Piedra H. 🟨,
- 89', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 89', Mina A. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto 27% | Draw 28.2% | SD Aucas 44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vinotinto - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.34 ↑ (3.09) |
3.28 ↑ (3.22) |
2.08 ↓ (2.34) |
8.6% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Recent form of Vinotinto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aucas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aucas might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against SD Aucas?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Vinotinto?
SD Aucas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - SD Aucas were as follows:
02.03.2025
SD Aucas
-
Vinotinto
2:2
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )