San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.660.51
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
256
Shots on target
74
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
170
Passes
87% (422/483)81% (252/311)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
1.660.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.67
Total shots
256
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
120
Shots inside the box
174
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
170
Touches in opposition box
5212
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
01
Free kicks
116
Passes
87% (422/483)81% (252/311)
Long passes
67% (31/46)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
82% (185/225)67% (52/78)
Crosses
24% (12/51)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.51
Throw ins
2212
Fouls
611
Tackles
56% (10/18)72% (13/18)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
853
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.671.73
Goals prevented
-0.331.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Nouhou 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Rothrock P. , Ferreira J. (A), Musovski D. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ferreira J. , Rusnak A. ,
  • 46', Petkovic N. 🟨,
  • 56', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 57', Jones D. , Vitor Costa ,
  • 59', Kingston P. 🟨,
  • 65', Petkovic N. , Roldan A. ,
  • 65', Musovski D. , De Rosario O. ,
  • 65', Minoungou G. , Roldan C. ,
  • 77', Leroux B. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 77', Bouda O. , Skahan J. ,
  • 86', Kingston P. , Brunell S. ,
  • 86', Tsakiris N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kikanovic B. , Marie P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
44.9%
Draw
25.1%
Seattle Sounders
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 27.1% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 27% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
  • Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Sounders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.52)
    3.77
    (3.48)
    3.16
    (2.67)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Seattle (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - San Jose (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Seattle (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
    • San Jose has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Seattle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Seattle: Hawkins S. (Inactive) Kim Kee-Hee (Calf Injury) Morris J. (Injury) Sailor R. (Knee Injury) de La Vega P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes 3:2
    29.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders 1:1
    18.09.2024 Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes 2:2
    23.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders 3:2
    12.07.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders 2:0
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)