San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.660.51
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
256
Shots on target
74
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
170
Passes
87% (422/483)81% (252/311)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
1.660.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.67
Total shots
256
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
120
Shots inside the box
174
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
170
Touches in opposition box
5212
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
01
Free kicks
116
Passes
87% (422/483)81% (252/311)
Long passes
67% (31/46)54% (22/41)
Passes in final third
82% (185/225)67% (52/78)
Crosses
24% (12/51)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.51
Throw ins
2212
Fouls
611
Tackles
56% (10/18)72% (13/18)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
853
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.671.73
Goals prevented
-0.331.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Nouhou 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Rothrock P. , Ferreira J. (A), Musovski D. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ferreira J. , Rusnak A. ,
  • 46', Petkovic N. 🟨,
  • 56', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 57', Jones D. , Vitor Costa ,
  • 59', Kingston P. 🟨,
  • 65', Petkovic N. , Roldan A. ,
  • 65', Musovski D. , De Rosario O. ,
  • 65', Minoungou G. , Roldan C. ,
  • 77', Leroux B. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 77', Bouda O. , Skahan J. ,
  • 86', Kingston P. , Brunell S. ,
  • 86', Tsakiris N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kikanovic B. , Marie P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
44.9%
Draw
25.1%
Seattle Sounders
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 27.1% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 27% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
  • Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Sounders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.52)
    3.77
    (3.48)
    3.16
    (2.67)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Seattle (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - San Jose (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Jose Earthquakes will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Seattle (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
    • San Jose has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Seattle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Seattle: Hawkins S. (Inactive) Kim Kee-Hee (Calf Injury) Morris J. (Injury) Sailor R. (Knee Injury) de La Vega P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes 3:2
    29.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders 1:1
    18.09.2024 Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes 2:2
    23.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders 3:2
    12.07.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders 2:0
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

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