Sebastian Baez vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Barcelona Sebastian Baez - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
1:2
16/04/2024 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Absolu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFranceEurosport 1, Eurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Aces
011
Double Faults
59
1st Serve Percentage
66%55%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (46/83)71% (37/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (21/42)44% (19/43)
Break Points Saved
63% (10/16)17% (1/6)
1st Return Points Won
29% (15/52)45% (37/83)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (24/43)50% (21/42)
Break Points Converted
83% (5/6)38% (6/16)
Max Points In Row
58
Service Points Won
54% (67/125)59% (56/95)
Return Points Won
41% (39/95)46% (58/125)
Total Points Won
48% (106/220)52% (114/220)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
63% (10/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)38% (6/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
60.6%
Matteo Arnaldi
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Sebastian Baez - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.49)

    2.4
    (2.36)
    4.9%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Baez will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    15.04.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Cazaux Arnaldi M. retired
    08.04.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Emil Ruusuvuori Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Djere L. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R.Fearnley J. (LL)0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    6Arnaldi M.Korda S.1 : 2
    7Martinez P.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    8Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (9)Munar J.1 : 2
    10Khachanov K.Norrie C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Wawrinka S. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    12De Jong J. (Q)Rublev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rune H. (6)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Baez S.Dzumhur D. (LL)2 : 0
    15Medjedovic H. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    16Galan D. E. (Q)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djere L.2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Korda S.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Munar J.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Rune H. (6)Baez S.2 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 0
    3Khachanov K.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Rune H. (6)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Khachanov K.Rune H. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rune H. (6)0 : 2