Sebastian Baez vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/04/2024 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Absolu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFranceEurosport 1, Eurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Aces
011
Double Faults
59
1st Serve Percentage
66%55%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (46/83)71% (37/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (21/42)44% (19/43)
Break Points Saved
63% (10/16)17% (1/6)
1st Return Points Won
29% (15/52)45% (37/83)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (24/43)50% (21/42)
Break Points Converted
83% (5/6)38% (6/16)
Max Points In Row
58
Service Points Won
54% (67/125)59% (56/95)
Return Points Won
41% (39/95)46% (58/125)
Total Points Won
48% (106/220)52% (114/220)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
63% (10/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)38% (6/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
60.6%
Matteo Arnaldi
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Sebastian Baez - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.49)

    2.4
    (2.36)
    4.9%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Baez will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    15.04.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Cazaux Arnaldi M. retired
    08.04.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Emil Ruusuvuori Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2