Result
1:2
28/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 50% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 72% (31/43) | 64% (34/53) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 55% (17/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 11/16 | 1/5 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 28% (12/43) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 53% (23/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/5 | 5/16 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 36 | 11 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 52 | 30 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (51/86) | 61% (51/84) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (33/84) | 41% (35/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (84/170) | 51% (86/170) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 54% (15/28) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Ofner
61.1% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Sebastian Ofner - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.56) |
|
2.39 ↑
(2.24) |
6.8%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 2 - 50%). Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ofner is ranked ATP: 86. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 117.
- Ofner is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Carreno Busta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Sebastian Ofner has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Sebastian Ofner?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kolar Z. | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gakhov I. (RET.) | Harris L. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Cecchinato M. | Lajovic D. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (4) | Sanchez Jover C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bertola R. | Hassan B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanchez Quilez A. (Q) | Montes-De La Torre I. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Gulin S. (Q) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Choinski J. (7) | Pereira T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Safiullin R. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Merida Aguilar D. | Houkes M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Shelbayh A. (LL) | Gaubas V. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ivashka I. (Q) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Blanch D. (Q) | Engel J. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Butvilas E. | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pieri S. (Q) | De Jong J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Harris L. | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (4) | Bertola R. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Sanchez Quilez A. | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Choinski J. (7) | Safiullin R. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Houkes M. | Gaubas V. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Blanch D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Butvilas E. | De Jong J. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Martinez P. (4) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Safiullin R. | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Butvilas E. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Safiullin R. | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
