Section Paloise vs Bordeaux Bègles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles
Result
22:26
19/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport 360
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
12
Conversion Goals
11
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
54
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (9 - 6)
  • 12', Carbery J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 24', Zabala J. , Tokolahi S. ,
  • 25', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 30', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 36', Parrou H. 🟨,
  • 37', Carbery J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (13 - 20)
  • 49', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 49', Falatea S. (Try),
  • 51', Carbery J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 56', Carbery J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 59', Maximin J. (Try),
  • 60', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 71', (Penalty Try),
  • 79', (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Section Paloise
61.8%
Draw
4.3%
Bordeaux Bègles
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 4.4% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 4.1% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Section Paloise's performance.
  • Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bordeaux Bègles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Section Paloise that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bordeaux Bègles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.88)
    21.43
    (21.25)
    2.71
    (1.99)
    9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Section Paloise won 3.
    • Recent matches Section Paloise is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bordeaux Bègles is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bordeaux Bègles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Section Paloise will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Section Paloise to win the game is with odds 1.49.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Section Paloise won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 373:415 (average 20.7:23.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Section Paloise won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 236:191 (average 26.2:21.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Bordeaux Bègles - Section Paloise 19:6
    17.02.2024 Bordeaux Bègles - Section Paloise 10:20
    11.11.2023 Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles 20:11
    13.05.2023 Bordeaux Bègles - Section Paloise 28:0
    06.11.2022 Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles 33:7
    Latest results of Section Paloise
    04.04.2025 Section Paloise - Bath 24:49
    29.03.2025 Toulouse - Section Paloise 55:10
    22.03.2025 Section Paloise - Montpellier 40:38
    22.02.2025 Section Paloise - Perpignan 23:6
    Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
    12.04.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Munster 47:29
    06.04.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Ulster 43:31
    23.03.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse 32:24
    01.03.2025 Perpignan - Bordeaux Bègles 17:29
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2