Result
39:17
01/03/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (17 - 12)
- 13', Gazzotti M. (Try),
- 14', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Decron N. (Try),
- 20', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Hewat R. (Try),
- 22', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Woki C. (Try),
- 30', Uberti P. 🟨,
- 30', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (22 - 5)
- 51', Buros R. (Try),
- 58', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 61', Grandidier-Nkanang A. (Try),
- 66', Robson D. (Try),
- 66', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Seneca R. (Try),
- 72', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Section Paloise
51.9% | Draw
4.6% | Bordeaux Bègles
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Section Paloise's form might have worsened.Bordeaux Bègles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bordeaux Bègles's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Section Paloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bordeaux Bègles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.53) |
20.49 ↓
(21) |
2.13 ↓
(2.6) |
8.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Section Paloise: 82% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Section Paloise will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:28.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 3.
- Recent performances by Section Paloise have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bordeaux Bègles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Bordeaux Bègles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Section Paloise is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Section Paloise will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 429:474. (average 21.5:23.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 258:217. (average 25.8:21.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Bordeaux Bègles?
Section Paloise has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bordeaux Bègles won against Section Paloise?
Bordeaux Bègles has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles were as follows:
21.11.2025
Bordeaux Bègles
-
Section Paloise
33:34
19.04.2025
Section Paloise
-
Bordeaux Bègles
22:26
26.10.2024
Bordeaux Bègles
-
Section Paloise
19:6
17.02.2024
Bordeaux Bègles
-
Section Paloise
10:20
11.11.2023
Section Paloise
-
Bordeaux Bègles
20:11
Latest results of Section Paloise
Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
