Section Paloise vs Northampton Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
27:35
07/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
portugalPortugalSport TV7
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloRugby.com, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
35
Conversion Goals
32
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
22
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 12)
  • 19', Isa F. (Try),
  • 21', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Ramm J. (Try),
  • 33', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Arfeuil G. (Try),
  • 35', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 36', Dingwall F. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (13 - 23)
  • 44', Ramm J. (Try),
  • 48', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 50', Arfeuil G. (Try),
  • 51', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 52', Mitchell A. (Try),
  • 52', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', Smith F. (Penalty Goal),
  • 64', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 77', (Try),
  • 80+1', (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Section Paloise
30.6%
Draw
3.9%
Northampton Saints
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 4.1% 59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 3.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Section Paloise's form might have worsened.
  • Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northampton Saints's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Section Paloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Section Paloise - Northampton Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.55)
    25
    (22.33)
    1.41
    (1.54)
    9.1%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Section Paloise - Northampton Saints?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Northampton Saints will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Section Paloise (votes: 3 - 60%). Northampton Saints (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:30.
  • Preview Facts
    • Section Paloise is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Northampton Saints's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Northampton Saints may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Northampton Saints is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Section Paloise
    Latest results of Northampton Saints
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesLeicester Tigers64 : 14
    2Stade ToulousainBristol59 : 26
    3BathSaracens31 : 22
    4Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique49 : 41
    5LeinsterEdinburgh49 : 31
    6HarlequinsSale Sharks17 : 26
    7Glasgow WarriorsBulls25 : 21
    8RC ToulonnaisStormers28 : 27

    Quarter-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain30 : 15
    2BathNorthampton Saints43 : 41
    3LeinsterSale Sharks43 : 13
    4Glasgow WarriorsRC Toulonnais19 : 22

    Semi-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesBath
    2LeinsterRC Toulonnais

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2