Result
28:31
18/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 7)
- 8', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 9', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Conbeer R. (Try),
- 16', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
- 39', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Edwards D. (Missed Drop Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 24)
- 45', Boshoff E. (Try),
- 46', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Morgan J. (Try),
- 65', (Penalty Try),
- 69', Roudil E. (Try),
- 70', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Edwards D. (Try),
- 76', Davies L. (Try),
- 77', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Section Paloise
69.8% | Draw
3.5% | Ospreys
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospreys than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Section Paloise - Ospreys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.35) |
27.17 ↑
(25.03) |
3.51 ↑
(3.32) |
7.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 54.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Section Paloise is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ospreys is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ospreys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Section Paloise have a series of guest games.
- In this match Section Paloise is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Section Paloise to win the game is with odds 1.32.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Section Paloise won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26:48 (average 13:24).
- Including matches at home between the teams Section Paloise won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26:21
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Ospreys?
Section Paloise has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Section Paloise?
Ospreys has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Ospreys were as follows:
Latest results of Section Paloise
Latest results of Ospreys
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Lions | 24 : 12 |
| 2 | Aviron Bayonnais | Bulls | 22 : 32 |
| 3 | Section Paloise | Bath | 24 : 49 |
| 4 | Montpellier | Gloucester | 17 : 24 |
| 5 | Ospreys | Scarlets | 36 : 14 |
| 6 | Lyon | Sharks | 34 : 21 |
| 7 | Connacht | Cardiff Rugby | 35 : 20 |
| 8 | USA Perpignan | Racing 92 | 18 : 24 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Bulls | 34 : 28 |
| 2 | Bath | Gloucester | 61 : 26 |
| 3 | Ospreys | Lyon | 18 : 20 |
| 4 | Connacht | Racing 92 | 40 : 43 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Bath | 24 : 39 |
| 2 | Lyon | Racing 92 | 29 : 15 |
Final
