Result
1:0
13/03/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 26
- Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Idriz S. ⚽, Zwarts J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Umarbaev P. 🟨,
- 50', Hamdiji W. 🟥,
- 52', Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↓, Ali E. ↑,
- 61', Fontaine N. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
- 65', Varbanov G. 🟨,
- 70', Idriz S. ↓, Lamy J. ↑,
- 70', Dinev Z. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
- 72', Baurenski Y. ↓, Abou A. ↑,
- 72', Varbanov G. ↓, Vasilev S. ↑,
- 82', Lucas Ryan ↓, Ruskov M. ↑,
- 82', Umarbaev P. ↓, Aleksandrov A. ↑,
- 85', Onasci K. ↓, Ivanov G. ↑,
- 87', Abou A. 🟨,
- 89', Milosavljevic B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54.5% | Draw
26.6% | Septemvri Sofia
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form might have worsened.Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.44) |
3.52 ↓
(4.13) |
5.05 ↓
(6.81) |
6.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Septemvri Sofia (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2.
- Recent form of Lokomotiv Plovdiv has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Septemvri Sofia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Plovdiv won against Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia were as follows:
03.10.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2:2
28.04.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2:0
16.02.2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Septemvri Sofia
0:1
26.08.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2:3
07.04.2023
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Septemvri Sofia
2:1
Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 58:18 | 40 | 62 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:18 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Arda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 21:35 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 21 |
| 15 | Beroe ✔ | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 17:39 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 14:41 | -27 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
