Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 7
- Referee: Arsov S. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Aralica A. ↓, Caue Caruzo ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Ali D. ↓, Mitev H. ↑,
- 60', Aruna A. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
- 63', Mitev H. 🟥,
- 68', Dost E. ↓, Luann ↑,
- 68', Caue Caruzo ↓, Messi ↑,
- 71', Wade S. 🟨,
- 76', Varbanov G. ↓, Fontaine N. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Fontaine N. ⚽, Serber K. (A),
- 90', Stoichkov S. ↓, Marinov B. ↑,
- 90+6', Serber K. 🟨,
- 90+6', Daskalov R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia
20.7% | Draw
29.1% | Lokomotiv Sofia
50.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.48 ↓
(4.93) |
3.23 ↓
(3.35) |
1.9 ↑
(1.74) |
5.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 1.
- Septemvri Sofia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lokomotiv Sofia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Lokomotiv Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Sofia won against Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:
20.05.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
0:2
08.12.2024
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
12.10.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
2:3
12.08.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
0:1
18.02.2023
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:1
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:7 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Beroe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Lok. Sofia | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Arda | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 11 |
| 12 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dobrudzha | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
