Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia).

: Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 36
Referee: Kolev K. (Bul)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	5
Corner Kicks
2	3
Yellow Cards
3	2
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
14	9
Throw-ins
13	16
Fouls
6	8
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Aralica A. ⚽, Galchev P. (A),
41', Stanoev K. 🟨,
41', Varbanov G. 🟨,
42', Atanasov Z. A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Aralica A. ⚽, Katsarov B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Orachev M. 🟨,
55', Vitinho ↓, Marinov B. ↑,
61', Moran M. 🟨,
68', Ali D. ↓, Pitsolis A. ↑,
68', Teixeira D. ↓, Nenov Y. ↑,
68', Aralica A. ↓, Raposo C. ↑,
73', Dzhamov A. ↓, Genchev N. ↑,
73', Moran M. ↓, Dobrev V. ↑,
77', Stanoev K. ↓, Chachev K. ↑,
77', Galchev P. ↓, Manolkov E. ↑,
90', Velickovski N. ↓, Marinov D. ↑,
90', Mitkov M. ↓, Stoichkov B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Septemvri Sofia
15.8%

Draw
42.1%

Lokomotiv Sofia
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

26.5%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Septemvri Sofia's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.69 ↑ (4.06)	2.36 ↓ (3.45)	2.27 ↑ (1.86)	4.1% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia?

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 1 - 2.1%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 38 - 79.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 67.7% – 90.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 13 - 86.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 1.
Recent performances by Septemvri Sofia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lokomotiv Sofia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is the team to beat.
There will not play in Lokomotiv Sofia: Acka D. (Knee Injury) Aralica A. (Injury) Slavchev S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Lokomotiv Sofia: Octavio (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.2:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Lokomotiv Sofia?

Septemvri Sofia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Sofia won against Septemvri Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:

08.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia 1:2

12.10.2024 Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia 2:3

12.08.2024 Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:1

18.02.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia 1:1

Latest results of Septemvri Sofia

15.05.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia - Septemvri Sofia 2:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Slavia Sofia 3:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Botev Vratsa - Septemvri Sofia 3:2 ✺

28.04.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia

14.05.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia 2:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Slavia Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa 3:0 ✺

02.05.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia 1:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad 3:0 ✺

Bulgarian Parva Liga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Beroe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Botev Plovdiv	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cherno More	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Lok. Plovdiv	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Levski Sofia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Lok. Sofia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Slavia Sofia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Spartak Varna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Montana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Dobrudzha	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Botev Vratsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ludogorets	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Arda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Septemvri Sofia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	CSKA 1948 Sofia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )
      Parva liga (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Serbia	SportKlub 9