Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 9
- Referee: Vitse J. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/308) | 83% (402/484) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (220/308) | 83% (402/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (32/84) | 68% (47/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (36/73) | 71% (112/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Soumah-Abbad E. ⚽, Da Costa E. (A),
- 22', Solheid N. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Schoofs L. ⚽,
- 36', Salah M. 🟨,
- 45', Ndiaye C. O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', De Grand S. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Soumah-Abbad E. (Pen),
- 56', 2 - 2, Rommens N. ⚽, Lopez L. (A),
- 59', Oware H. ↓, Seigers R. ↑,
- 59', Salah M. ↓, Seuntjens R. ↑,
- 63', Da Costa E. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
- 63', Faye S. ↓, Akpa-Chukwu H. ↑,
- 68', Lopez L. ↓, Pelupessy J. ↑,
- 68', Vancsa Z. ↓, van Duiven J. ↑,
- 72', Agne Ba A. ↓, Gaye T. ↑,
- 75', Tolinsson J. ↓, Eyoma T. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Seuntjens R. ⚽, Seigers R. (A),
- 87', Ndiaye C. O. ↓, Lockman T. ↑,
- 87', Paulo da Silva T. ↓, Kebe O. ↑,
- 89', van Duiven J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Seraing
26.3% | Draw
26% | Lommel
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lommel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Seraing - Lommel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(2.93) |
3.79 ↑
(3.5) |
2.16 ↓
(2.18) |
-0.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Seraing - Lommel?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lommel will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 1.
- Seraing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lommel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Lommel is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Seraing won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Seraing won against Lommel?
Seraing has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against Seraing?
Lommel has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Seraing - Lommel were as follows:
02.03.2025
Lommel
-
Seraing
2:2
01.09.2024
Seraing
-
Lommel
1:2
06.04.2024
Lommel
-
Seraing
0:0
08.12.2023
Seraing
-
Lommel
2:2
Latest results of Seraing
