Result
0:1
01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 27
- Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (570/663) | 72% (181/253) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (570/663) | 72% (181/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 40% (29/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (157/214) | 49% (36/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (13/36) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 2.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Da Costa E. 🟨,
- 23', Oware H. 🟨,
- 42', Boukteb B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Boukteb B. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Mabani F. ⚽, Da Costa E. (A),
- 62', Akpa-Chukwu H. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
- 64', Oware H. ↓, Tolinsson J. ↑,
- 64', Schoofs L. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
- 77', Muland M. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
- 78', Mabani F. ↓, Paulo da Silva T. ↑,
- 78', Kebe O. ↓, Bukusu K. ↑,
- 78', van Duiven R. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
- 86', Soumah-Abbad E. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
- 90+2', Rommens N. ↓, Pelupessy J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lommel
59.2% | Draw
22.6% | Seraing
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Lommel - Seraing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.64) |
4.1 ↑
(3.74) |
5.11 ↑
(4.55) |
7.8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lommel - Seraing?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lommel will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Seraing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lommel is considered a favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against Seraing?
Lommel has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Seraing won against Lommel?
Seraing has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lommel - Seraing were as follows:
03.10.2025
Seraing
-
Lommel
2:3
02.03.2025
Lommel
-
Seraing
2:2
01.09.2024
Seraing
-
Lommel
1:2
06.04.2024
Lommel
-
Seraing
0:0
08.12.2023
Seraing
-
Lommel
2:2
Latest results of Seraing
