Itabaiana vs Sergipe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano Itabaiana - Sergipe
Result
2:0
05/03/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Sergipano - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilIT tv Plus

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Pedro Silva 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Gabriel Santiago ,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Leilson ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Luis Roberto , Vinicius Tsimuta ,
  • 47', Wendel R. N. J. 🟨,
  • 49', Chiquinho Alagoano 🟨,
  • 58', Ramon 🟨,
  • 59', Adriano Jr , Pedrinho ,
  • 65', Fernando Junior , Junior Pirambu ,
  • 65', Bruno Sena 🟨,
  • 67', Wendel R. N. J. , Romeo ,
  • 67', Bruno Sena , Tarcisio ,
  • 72', Robert , Tavinho ,
  • 72', Wisney , Ramos da Silva F. ,
  • 76', Erick Salles , Kesley ,
  • 81', Leo , Jefferson ,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
47.7%
Draw
28.3%
Sergipe
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 28.5% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 26.5% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Itabaiana - Sergipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.85)
    3.21
    (3.25)
    3.79
    (4.35)
    10.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 0.
    • Itabaiana in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sergipe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sergipe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Sergipe have a series of home games.
    • In this match Itabaiana is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Itabaiana to win the game is with odds 1.82.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:23 (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Sergipe were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Itabaiana - Sergipe 1:1
    26.06.2024 Sergipe - Itabaiana 2:0
    26.05.2024 Itabaiana - Sergipe 0:0
    28.01.2024 Itabaiana - Sergipe 0:2
    08.04.2023 Sergipe - Itabaiana 2:1
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    01.03.2025 Itabaiana - Barra SE 4:2
    23.02.2025 Confiança - Itabaiana 0:0
    16.02.2025 Itabaiana - Dorense 4:1
    08.02.2025 Lagarto - Itabaiana 0:1
    01.02.2025 Itabaiana - Falcon 4:0
    Latest results of Sergipe
    19.02.2025 Sergipe - Ceará 0:2
    16.02.2025 Sergipe - Lagarto 0:4
    09.02.2025 Confiança - Sergipe 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Confianca (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)Falcon (6)0 : 1
    3Itabaiana (2)Sergipe (7)2 : 0
    4America SE (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ConfiancaFalcon3 : 0, 2 : 1
    2ItabaianaAmerica SE1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1ConfiancaItabaiana1 : 1, 2 : 1