Result
2:0
05/03/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Sergipano - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Brazil | IT tv Plus |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Pedro Silva 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Gabriel Santiago ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 0, Leilson ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Luis Roberto ↓, Vinicius Tsimuta ↑,
- 47', Wendel R. N. J. 🟨,
- 49', Chiquinho Alagoano 🟨,
- 58', Ramon 🟨,
- 59', Adriano Jr ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 65', Fernando Junior ↓, Junior Pirambu ↑,
- 65', Bruno Sena 🟨,
- 67', Wendel R. N. J. ↓, Romeo ↑,
- 67', Bruno Sena ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
- 72', Robert ↓, Tavinho ↑,
- 72', Wisney ↓, Ramos da Silva F. ↑,
- 76', Erick Salles ↓, Kesley ↑,
- 81', Leo ↓, Jefferson ↑,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
47.7% | Draw
28.3% | Sergipe
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Itabaiana - Sergipe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.85) |
3.21 ↓
(3.25) |
3.79 ↓
(4.35) |
10.1%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 0.
- Itabaiana in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sergipe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sergipe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Sergipe have a series of home games.
- In this match Itabaiana is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Itabaiana to win the game is with odds 1.82.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:23 (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Itabaiana won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Sergipe?
Itabaiana has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sergipe won against Itabaiana?
Sergipe has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Sergipe were as follows:
19.01.2025
Itabaiana
-
Sergipe
1:1
26.06.2024
Sergipe
-
Itabaiana
2:0
26.05.2024
Itabaiana
-
Sergipe
0:0
28.01.2024
Itabaiana
-
Sergipe
0:2
08.04.2023
Sergipe
-
Itabaiana
2:1
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of Sergipe
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Confianca (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | Falcon (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Sergipe (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | America SE (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Confianca | Falcon | 3 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | America SE | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Confianca | Itabaiana | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
