Result
03/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Maringá
65.2% | Draw
21.1% | Itabaiana
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maringá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Maringá - Itabaiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.47) |
4.31 ↑
(4.21) |
6.62 ↑
(6.27) |
9.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- Recent performances by Maringá have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Itabaiana's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Itabaiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Maringá is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maringá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Maringá won against Itabaiana?
Maringá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Maringá?
Itabaiana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maringá - Itabaiana were as follows:
24.08.2025
Itabaiana
-
Maringá
2:2
Latest results of Maringá
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amazonas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Brusque | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Paysandu PA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Ituano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | SER Caxias | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Guarani | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Barra FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Inter de Limeira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Confianca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Ferroviaria | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Itabaiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
