Santa Cruz Recife vs Sergipe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe
Result
3:1 penalties
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
53
Total shots
108
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Thiago Galhardo ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Thiago Galhardo ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Felipe Para ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Thiago Galhardo (Pen),
  • 1, Felipe Para (Pen),
  • 2, Ariel (Pen),
  • 2, Matheus Sacramento (Pen),
  • 3, Renato (Pen),
  • 3, Ericeon (Pen),
  • 4, Eurico (Pen),
  • 4, Luan (Pen),
  • 5, Thiaguinho (Pen),
  • 5, Jeferson (Pen),
  • 6, Pedro Favela (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz Recife
62%
Draw
24.4%
Sergipe
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.6% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 22.2% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.54)
    3.72
    (3.85)
    6.69
    (5.31)
    10.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Santa Cruz is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Sergipe - Santa Cruz Recife 2:1
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Latest results of Sergipe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira2 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2