Serik Belediyespor vs Vanspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:6
08/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.972.58
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
57
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
75
Passes
77% (239/311)84% (312/372)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.972.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.191.76
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
712
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1928
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
915
Passes
77% (239/311)84% (312/372)
Long passes
46% (28/61)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
61% (63/103)76% (71/94)
Crosses
25% (3/12)58% (7/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.101.52
Throw ins
2017
Fouls
159
Tackles
84% (16/19)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3948
Clearances
1230
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.760.19
Goals prevented
-3.24-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Bikoue , Destici S. (A),
  • 14', Kara B. C. 🟨,
  • 16', Bikoue 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 2, Martynov A. (Own goal),
  • 35', 1 - 2, Topalli J. , Karakaya B. (A),
  • 41', Dilli S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ceylan B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Sadygov I. , Nwachukwu C. ,
  • 55', 1 - 3, Mamah K. , Bikoue (A),
  • 57', Mamah K. , Bars E. ,
  • 66', Kara B. C. , Traore A. ,
  • 67', Jefferson 🟨,
  • 67', Martynov A. , Tashkyn S. ,
  • 70', 1 - 4, Secgin E. ,
  • 73', 1 - 5, Bikoue , Bars E. (A),
  • 77', Bikoue , Caglayan O. ,
  • 77', Jefferson , Demirol A. ,
  • 77', Cavusoglu M. , Jevsenak Z. ,
  • 79', Ceylan B. 🟨,
  • 84', Topalli J. , Koc A. ,
  • 84', Nalepa M. , Adeola R. ,
  • 84', Asan B. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 85', 1 - 6, Hostikka S. , Bars E. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Serik Belediyespor
28.1%
Draw
27.4%
Vanspor
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 25.4% 53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 24.7% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serik Belediyespor's performance.
  • Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serik Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (4.31)
    3.37
    (3.65)
    2.08
    (1.74)
    8.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Vanspor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vanspor: 29%96%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vanspor will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Vanspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Cavlan C. (Yellow Cards) Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Serik Belediyespor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor 0:1
    26.03.2025 Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor 6:2
    17.11.2024 Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor 1:2
    27.01.2024 Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor 3:1
    10.09.2023 Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor 0:2
    Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
    Latest results of Vanspor
    04.04.2026 Keçiörengücü - Vanspor 3:0
    22.03.2026 Vanspor - Sarıyer 0:0
    15.03.2026 Sakaryaspor - Vanspor 2:1
    10.03.2026 Vanspor - Adana Demirspor 1:0
    06.03.2026 Pendikspor - Vanspor 1:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor35239379:245578
    2Amedspor35219577:364172
    3Erokspor352010579:334670
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Umraniyespor351271642:44-243
    15Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    16Boluspor351261752:54-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor35891844:62-1833
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to