Result
1:2
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 🟥,
- 41', 1 - 1, Rocha P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 85', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Serpa
44.8% | Draw
29.3% | Oriental
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Oriental has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serpa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Serpa - Oriental Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(2.02) |
3.08 ↑
(3.06) |
3.49 ↓
(3.5) |
10.7%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
- Serpa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oriental's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Serpa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Oriental?
Serpa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriental won against Serpa?
Oriental has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serpa - Oriental were as follows:
14.01.2024
Oriental
-
Serpa
0:3
27.08.2023
Serpa
-
Oriental
0:1
Latest results of Oriental
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano ✔ | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Malveira | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 44 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 31:22 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 7 | Serpa | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Oriental | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Portimonense B ✔ | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 24 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20:40 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Portimonense B is Relegated to
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
