Result
3:2
28/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 17
Chances of winning
Setúbal 71% | Draw 19.2% | Serpa 9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Setúbal's performance.Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Setúbal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Setúbal - Serpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.28 ↓ (1.45) |
4.74 ↑ (4) |
9.33 ↑ (6.22) |
9.7% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Setúbal is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Setúbal won against Serpa?
Setúbal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Setúbal?
Serpa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Setúbal - Serpa were as follows:
17.09.2023
Serpa
-
Setúbal
0:1
Latest results of Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Juv. Evora | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Louletano | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Serpa | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Alverca B | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Oriental | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | O Elvas CAD | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16:35 | -19 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation