Setúbal vs Serpa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
28/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Setúbal
71%
Draw
19.2%
Serpa
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 22.7% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 22.1% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Setúbal's performance.
  • Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Setúbal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Setúbal - Serpa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.45)
    4.74
    (4)
    9.33
    (6.22)
    9.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Setúbal is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Setúbal - Serpa were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Serpa - Setúbal 0:1
    Latest results of Setúbal
    21.01.2024 Moncarapachense - Setúbal 0:1
    14.01.2024 Setúbal - Real SC 2:0
    07.01.2024 Louletano - Setúbal 2:1
    16.12.2023 Setúbal - Elvas 1:2
    Latest results of Serpa
    21.01.2024 Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro 1:0
    14.01.2024 Oriental - Serpa 0:3
    17.12.2023 Serpa - Barreirense 0:1
    10.12.2023 Sintrense - Serpa 2:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano26148436:152150
    2Malveira26138538:231547
    3Alverca B26145749:321747
    4Juv. Evora261210436:231346
    5GD Alcochetense26118733:221141
    6Sintrense26117830:25540
    7Lagoa26116944:341039
    8O Elvas CAD26971033:29434
    9Serpa26971028:34-634
    10Oriental26711829:35-632
    11Moncarapachense26710921:21031
    12Portimonense B26641619:42-2322
    13Industria26281620:45-2514
    14Vasco da Gama261111420:56-3614

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation