Result
1:1
03/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 28
- Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (241/342) | 77% (326/421) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (241/342) | 77% (326/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (39/75) | 34% (22/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (64/115) | 64% (97/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 95 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Kasami P. 🟨,
- 18', Ondoua G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Golliard T. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
- 50', Buess R. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Buess R. ⚽, Hunziker A. (A),
- 59', Guillemenot J. ↓, Mraz S. ↑,
- 59', Mendes H. ↓, Allix T. ↑,
- 59', Severin Y. ↓, Ishuayed Sanchez M. ↑,
- 63', Kryeziu M. 🟥,
- 64', Njoh L. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
- 66', Sidler S. 🟨,
- 66', Sidler S. ↓, Ulrich D. ↑,
- 66', Burkart N. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
- 75', Burch M. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
- 79', Schneider R. ↓, Jankewitz A. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Aye F. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
- 86', Mazikou B. 🟨,
- 88', Fomba L. 🟨,
- 90', Kasami P. ↓, Cueni S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Winterthur 22% | Draw 23.4% | Servette 54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)The ML Model estimate for Winterthur aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Winterthur - Servette Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.26 ↓ (4.27) |
4.01 ↓ (4.23) |
1.71 ↑ (1.66) |
6.8% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Winterthur - Servette?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Servette will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Servette: 41.5% – 84.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Winterthur (votes: 2 - 40%). Servette (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Winterthur (1.62) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Winterthur (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Winterthur (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Winterthur (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Servette (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1.
- Winterthur has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Servette has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Servette may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Servette is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Winterthur: Dansoko B.
(Inactive)
Diaby S.
(Inactive)
Luthi L.
(Thigh Injury)
Momoh F.
(Inactive)
Rohner F.
(Yellow Cards)
Stillhart B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Servette: Bronn D.
(Inactive)
Cognat T.
(Yellow Cards)
Douline D.
(Yellow Cards)
Frick J.
(Hip Injury)
Srdanovic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Servette: Aye F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 23:42. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Servette?
Winterthur has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Servette won against Winterthur?
Servette has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Servette were as follows:
01.11.2025
Winterthur
-
Servette
4:2
27.09.2025
Servette
-
Winterthur
4:0
23.02.2025
Servette
-
Winterthur
3:1
08.12.2024
Servette
-
Winterthur
1:1
01.09.2024
Winterthur
-
Servette
0:1
Latest results of Winterthur
Latest results of Servette
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 27 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 64 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Lugano | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Basel | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Sion | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 55:52 | 3 | 39 |
| 7 | Luzern | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 53:51 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 39:53 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 45:52 | -7 | 30 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 31:78 | -47 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )