Result
2:1
16/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Spain | FEF TV, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Zoilo A. ⚽,
- 31', Samperio J. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
- 37', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Alvarez J. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Garai G. ⚽,
- 65', Ochoa M. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
- 72', Etxaniz J. ↓, Martinez Ortiz L. ↑,
- 72', Alvarez J. ↓, Etxeberria M. ↑,
- 72', Bustillo M. ↓, Relu ↑,
- 76', 🟨,
- 78', Martinez G. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Cabo J. ⚽,
- 81', Reniero N. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 90', Hernandez R. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
- 90', Martinez R. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
- 90+3', Garcia S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugo 46.9% | Draw 31.4% | Sestao 21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugo - Sestao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (2.26) |
2.93 ↑ (2.89) |
4.21 ↑ (3.18) |
8.9% (10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Lugo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Sestao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lugo is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Sestao?
Lugo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestao won against Lugo?
Sestao has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Sestao were as follows:
02.10.2024
Lugo
-
Sestao
0:1
08.09.2024
Sestao
-
Lugo
0:1
24.03.2024
Lugo
-
Sestao
4:3
02.12.2023
Sestao
-
Lugo
0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ponferradina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Tenerife | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Real Madrid B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Arenas Getxo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Merida AD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Osasuna B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Zamora | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
9 | Pontevedra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Cacereno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Ath Bilbao B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Celta Vigo B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Ourense CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Barakaldo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Lugo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Real Aviles | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
17 | CF Talavera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Arenteiro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Unionistas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation