Severstal Cherepovets vs Barys Astana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey KHL Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana
Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3215
Shooting PCT
9.38% (3/32)13.33% (2/15)
Blocked Shots
2115
Goalkeeper Saves
1329
Saves PCT
86.67% (13/15)90.63% (29/32)
Penalties
14
PIM
28
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)75% (3/4)
Hits
422
Faceoffs Won
2528
Faceoffs %
47.1752.83
Giveaways
106
Takeaways
56
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 04:35, Daniyar Sam. (2 min),
  • 05:47, 1 - 0, Pilipenko K. (G), Ilyin M. (A), Burenov N. (A2)
  • 12:37, 1 - 1, Morelli M. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Galimov E. (A2)
  • 12:57, 1 - 2, Volkov V. (G), Ospanov R. (A), Massie J. (A2)
  • 15:32, Ivantsov I. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:04, Ospanov R. (2 min),
  • 14:21, 2 - 2, Pilipenko K. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A),
  • 14:58, 3 - 2, Kamalov N. (G), Pilipenko K. (A), Ilyin M. (A2)
  • 19:08, Morelli M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 18:46, Daniyar Sam. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Severstal Cherepovets
55.2%
Draw
22.9%
Barys Astana
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 21.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 22.3% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.82)
    4.18
    (4.35)
    4.38
    (3.54)
    4.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barys will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Severstal (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Severstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Barys has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Severstal is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:60. (average 2.8:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 3.2:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana were as follows:
    20.02.2025 Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets 2:6
    06.12.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana 5:3
    03.12.2023 Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana 2:3
    12.11.2023 Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets 4:1
    25.01.2023 Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets 0:1
    Latest results of Barys Astana
    KHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl8511129:1413
    2Nizhny Novgorod8421125:1613
    3Dinamo Minsk7312119:1510
    4CSKA Moscow9401424:279
    5SKA St. Petersburg7311225:199
    6Spartak Moscow8213225:289
    7Dynamo Moscow8131322:289
    8Cherepovets8400419:188
    9Shanghai7212221:218
    10Sochi7121316:227
    11Lada7101514:323


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk8422031:2014
    2Avangard Omsk7420128:1612
    3Niznekamsk8410325:2310
    4Tractor Chelyabinsk8312222:2410
    5Yekaterinburg8310425:258
    6Khabarovsk8302317:188
    7Vladivostok7212218:158
    8Novosibirsk7130312:148
    9Barys Astana7121317:207
    10Bars Kazan7201416:265
    11Salavat Ufa7012414:234

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