Severstal Cherepovets vs Lada Togliatti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey KHL
Result
4:2
03/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3719
Shooting PCT
10.81% (4/37)10.53% (2/19)
Blocked Shots
1713
Goalkeeper Saves
1733
Saves PCT
89.47% (17/19)91.67% (33/36)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
211
Faceoffs Won
3728
Faceoffs %
56.9243.08
Giveaways
86
Takeaways
44
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 03:39, Altybarmakyan A. (2 min),
  • 08:57, 1 - 0, Dumbadze D. (G), Podshivalov I. (A), Veryayev D. (A2)
  • 13:55, Burenov N. (2 min),
  • 15:23, Cotton A. (2 min),
  • 16:25, 2 - 0, Abrosimov R. (G), Ivantsov I. (A), Liska A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 13:57, Abrosimov R. (2 min),
  • 15:00, 2 - 1, Sawchuk R. (G), Tyanulin A. (A), Cotton A. (A2)
  • 18:00, Grudinin V. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 08:21, Cotton A. (2 min),
  • 08:31, 3 - 1, Abrosimov R. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Gregoire T. (A2)
  • 12:48, 3 - 2, Jurco T. (G), Altybarmakyan A. (A), Belousov M. (A2)
  • 18:55, 4 - 2, Dumbadze D. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Severstal Cherepovets
65.1%		Draw
18.1%		Lada Togliatti
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 16.9% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 16.4% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Severstal Cherepovets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
    •

    Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.47 ↑
    (1.42)    		 5.28 ↓
    (5.74)    		 5.69 ↓
    (6.5)    		 4.8%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Lada will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lada: 41.6% – 98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lada Togliatti will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.
    • In recent matches, Severstal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lada's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Lada has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Severstal is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:30. (average 2.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 3:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Lada Togliatti - Severstal Cherepovets 2:3
    23.11.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti 2:0
    03.12.2024 Lada Togliatti - Severstal Cherepovets 1:0
    27.11.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti 0:3
    02.11.2023 Lada Togliatti - Severstal Cherepovets 1:4
    Latest results of Severstal Cherepovets
    30.12.2025 Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets 4:3 ✺
    28.12.2025 Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Severstal Cherepovets 2:1 ✺
    25.12.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi 4:3 ✺
    23.12.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - HC CSKA Moscow 3:1 ✺
    18.12.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Salavat Yulaev Ufa 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lada Togliatti
    30.12.2025 Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti 4:3 ✺
    28.12.2025 Avangard Omsk - Lada Togliatti 4:3 ✺
    25.12.2025 Lada Togliatti - Traktor Chelyabinsk 1:6 ✺
    21.12.2025 Dinamo Minsk - Lada Togliatti 7:2
    19.12.2025 Shanghai Dragons - Lada Togliatti 2:4 ✺
    KHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 58299515152:11281
    2Cherepovets ✔ 59279419175:15876
    3Dinamo Minsk ✔ 57295716208:13975
    4Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 58249619167:15572
    5CSKA Moscow57283818141:12670
    6Dynamo Moscow572210421155:14368
    7SKA St. Petersburg56227720160:14765
    8Spartak Moscow57245622166:17164
    9Shanghai581551127144:19151
    10Lada59152735133:20641
    11Sochi56142832115:19940


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk ✔ 5635858224:15091
    2Avangard Omsk ✔ 57319413194:13584
    3Bars Kazan ✔ 57325515175:13879
    4Yekaterinburg57257421171:14168
    5Salavat Ufa56236423147:14162
    6Niznekamsk58227326148:16161
    7Tractor Chelyabinsk57234624179:17860
    8Novosibirsk591213727141:17757
    9Khabarovsk58174730132:16349
    10Barys Astana591351031131:17446
    11Vladivostok561141031123:17640

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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