Severstal Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey KHL Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Result
4:3
13/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2225
Shooting PCT
18.18% (4/22)12% (3/25)
Blocked Shots
2121
Goalkeeper Saves
2218
Saves PCT
88% (22/25)81.82% (18/22)
Penalties
03
PIM
09
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/0)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (0/0)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
730
Faceoffs Won
2631
Faceoffs %
45.6154.39
Giveaways
117
Takeaways
41
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:35, 1 - 0, Veryayev D. (G), Dumbadze D. (A), Podshivalov I. (A2)
  • 13:09, 2 - 0, Dumbadze D. (G), Veryayev D. (A),
  • 13:50, Shalunov M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 11:20, 3 - 0, Ilyin M. (G), Gregoire T. (A), Kaldis Y. (A2)
  • 14:01, Gernat M. (5 min),
  • 17:14, Bereglazov A. (2 min),
  • 18:02, 4 - 0, Kvochko I. (G), Smirnov Y. (A), Aimurzin D. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 3)
  • 02:24, 4 - 1, Froese B. (G), Ulyev M. (A), Gernat M. (A2)
  • 07:15, 4 - 2, Ivanov G. (G), Radulov A. (A), Surin Y. (A2)
  • 10:55, 4 - 3, Ivanov G. (G), Ulyev M. (A), Radulov A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Severstal Cherepovets
28.6%
Draw
22.5%
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 22.1% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 21% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (3.08)
    4.31
    (4.3)
    1.98
    (2.02)
    3.2%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    What is the prediction for Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiv Yaroslavl will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Lokomotiv might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Severstal will win today's game, with odds of 3.23.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 35:60. (average 1.8:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 1.4:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets 2:1
    09.09.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets 4:1
    31.08.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets 2:3
    20.08.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets 0:2
    10.03.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets 3:0
    Latest results of Severstal Cherepovets
    KHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl16822452:3422
    2Shanghai15723343:3821
    3Nizhny Novgorod17631746:5019
    4Dynamo Moscow15361544:4319
    5Cherepovets15900642:3318
    6Dinamo Minsk14622442:3118
    7Spartak Moscow15613545:4617
    8SKA St. Petersburg15514541:4216
    9CSKA Moscow15602741:4514
    10Lada15402930:5910
    11Sochi13221828:409


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk161022263:4126
    2Avangard Omsk16920560:4422
    3Bars Kazan161001546:4321
    4Yekaterinburg17821649:3821
    5Tractor Chelyabinsk16524548:5418
    6Niznekamsk16621740:4617
    7Barys Astana17424745:5016
    8Khabarovsk14602630:3414
    9Vladivostok12422432:3014
    10Novosibirsk15160832:4214
    11Salavat Ufa14212931:478

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)