Result
2:1 penalties
31/05/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - FINAL
- Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Sport |
 Belgium | Canvas, RTBF |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action, Max Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Denmark | TV2 |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Germany | RTL |
 Italy | Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra |
 Turkey | TV8 Turkey |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Sevilla
31.9% | Draw
33.8% | Roma
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Sevilla - Roma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.69) |
2.84 ↓
(3.04) |
2.79 ↓
(2.94) |
4.4%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sevilla - Roma?
Users Predictions:
101 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 22 - 21.8%). Roma will win (votes: 24 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 55 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.8% – 64.2%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Pusk
- Sevilla has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, already of final, a chance of win league (49%).
- Roma has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, already of final, a good chance of win league (51%).
- This event has big quality 72, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Roma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Sevilla: Acuna M.
(Red Card)
Corona J.
(Inactive)
Gueye P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Roma: Kumbulla M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Roma: Dybala P.
(Ankle Injury)
Karsdorp R.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.
- Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Roma?
Sevilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Sevilla?
Roma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Roma were as follows:
Latest results of Sevilla
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 3 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 5 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 9 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 12 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 14 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Braga | |
| 17 | Servette | Bye | |
| 19 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 21 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 22 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Brann | |
| 25 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 27 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
| 29 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Noah | |
| 33 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 37 | RFS | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 41 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 45 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 49 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Drita | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 2 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 5 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ostrava | Legia | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | Servette | Bye | |
| 10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 4, 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Brann | |
| 13 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 14 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
| 15 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Noah | |
| 17 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 19 | RFS | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 21 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 23 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 25 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Drita | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Midtjylland | |
| 2 | PAOK | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | Legia | |
| 4 | CFR Cluj | Braga | |
| 5 | Servette | Utrecht | |
| 6 | Hacken | Brann | |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
| 8 | Lincoln Red Imps | Noah | |
| 9 | Rijeka | Shelbourne | |
| 10 | RFS | KuPS | |
| 11 | Hamrun | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 12 | Zrinjski | Breidablik | |
| 13 | FCSB | Drita | |
