Al-Nasr vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2 penalties
29/11/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.44
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
77% (227/295)78% (286/365)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.802.08
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
77% (227/295)78% (286/365)
Long passes
44% (24/55)35% (17/49)
Passes in final third
64% (45/70)69% (65/94)
Crosses
31% (5/16)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.78
Throw-ins
2113
Fouls
1710
Tackles
71% (5/7)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5556
Clearances
1519
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.081.80
Goals prevented
0.08-1.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Ghayedi M. , Sultan S. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Mateusao , Al Nuaimi E. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Ghayedi M. , Felipe Motta (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Agudelo K. 🟨,
  • 59', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
  • 60', Dabbur M. 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 1, Toure A. , Agudelo K. (A),
  • 67', Alvarez G. , Breno ,
  • 67', Dabbur M. , Yuri Cesar ,
  • 67', Seifi M. , Gomes I. ,
  • 75', Ghayedi M. , Mensah B. ,
  • 78', Al Nuaimi E. , Gonzalez Baquero S. ,
  • 82', 3 - 2, Yuri Cesar , Breno (A),
  • 85', Sultan S. , Amzar C. ,
  • 90+2', Toure A. , Mierez R. ,
  • 90+2', Guilherme , Thiago ,
  • 90+3', Al Zaabi Z. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Cartabia F. (Pen),
  • 1, Milivojevic L. (Pen),
  • 2, Mateusao (Pen),
  • 2, Mensah B. (Pen),
  • 3, Yuri Cesar (Pen),
  • 3, Agudelo K. (Pen),
  • 4, Gonzalez Baquero S. (Pen),
  • 4, Santos J. (Pen),
  • 5, Thiago (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Al-Nasr
31.8%
Draw
27.2%
Shabab Al-Ahli
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 26.6% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 25.7% 47.7%

Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.9
(3.35)
3.39
(3.46)
2.25
(2)
8.5%
(8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
  • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 0.
  • Al-Nasr has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Shabab Al-Ahli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Al-Nasr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Shabab Al-Ahli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:40. (average 1.5:2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 2.1:2.1).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:
16.11.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:1
20.09.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1
13.05.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1
05.01.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0
29.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 5:5
Latest results of Al-Nasr
21.11.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra 2:0
16.11.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:1
30.10.2025 Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr 3:2
25.10.2025 Al-Nasr - Bani Yas 0:2
18.10.2025 Al Wasl - Al-Nasr 2:1
Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
Draw
2025/26

1/8-finals
1Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiBye
2Al NasrAl Bataeh3 : 2, 0 : 0
3Al JaziraBye
4Al DhafraAl Wasl2 : 4, 1 : 5
5Dibba Al FujairahAl Sharjah0 : 2, 0 : 1
6Al AinIttihad Kalba1 : 0, 1 : 1
7Al WahdaAjman4 : 2, 1 : 1
8KhorfakkanBani Yas1 : 0, 2 : 2

Quarter-finals
1Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiAl Nasr2 : 4, 2 : 1
2Al JaziraAl Wasl0 : 0
3Al SharjahAl Ain1 : 4, 1 : 3
4Al WahdaKhorfakkan2 : 2