Al-Nasr vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UAE Football League Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli
Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • UAE League - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesADtv
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.83
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
79% (240/304)83% (323/388)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.581.18
Total shots
818
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1530
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
818
Passes
79% (240/304)83% (323/388)
Long passes
43% (20/46)67% (32/48)
Passes in final third
64% (47/74)68% (89/130)
Crosses
25% (2/8)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.29
Throw-ins
1930
Fouls
188
Tackles
64% (14/22)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4861
Clearances
3311
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.180.58
Goals prevented
0.180.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Alvarez G. 🟨,
  • 26', Kauan Santos 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Alvarez G. , Maksimovic N. ,
  • 50', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
  • 58', Mensah B. 🟨,
  • 59', Amzar C. , Idrees A. ,
  • 59', Santos J. , Azarkan M. ,
  • 66', Kauan Santos , Rikelme ,
  • 77', Yuri Cesar , Azmoun S. ,
  • 78', Gomes I. 🟨,
  • 79', Agudelo K. 🟨,
  • 84', Dabbur M. , Al Mansouri M. ,
  • 86', Mierez R. , Abdulbasit M. ,
  • 89', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ezatolahi S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Gustavo Alemao 🟨,
  • 90+5', 0 - 1, Azmoun S. , Cartabia F. (A),

Chances of winning


Al-Nasr
27%
Draw
28.1%
Shabab Al-Ahli
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 26.8% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 25.6% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (2.87)
    3.3
    (3.14)
    2.07
    (1.91)
    7.7%
    (19%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 1.
    • Al-Nasr is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shabab Al-Ahli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Nasr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Shabab Al-Ahli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:
    13.05.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1
    05.01.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0
    29.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 5:5
    23.12.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0
    01.05.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 4:3
    Latest results of Al-Nasr
    13.09.2025 Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr 0:0
    05.09.2025 Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr 2:3
    30.08.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh 0:0
    24.08.2025 Al-Nasr - Ajman Club 1:0
    16.08.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Nasr 0:1
    Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
    UAE Football League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ain541010:4613
    2Al Wahda53208:2611
    3Ittihad Kalba53117:4310
    4Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53114:1310
    5Al Wasl53117:5210
    6Al Dhafra530210:1009
    7Ajman53023:309
    8Al Nasr52213:218
    9Al Jazira52127:437
    10Al Sharjah51136:7-14
    11Khorfakkan51138:13-54
    12Al Bataeh51044:8-43
    13Dibba Al Fujairah50146:11-51
    14Bani Yas50050:9-90

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