Result
2:1 penalties
14/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ukrainian Cup - Final
- Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', Eguinaldo 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Yarmolenko A. ⚽, Dubinchak V. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Eguinaldo ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
- 54', Vanat V. 🟨,
- 54', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
- 61', Yarmolenko A. 🟨,
- 62', Marlon Gomes ↓, Kryskiv D. ↑,
- 62', Pedrinho ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 62', Bondarenko A. ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Kaua Elias ⚽, Alisson (A),
- 74', Shaparenko M. ↓, Brazhko V. ↑,
- 81', Yarmolenko A. ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
- 81', Buyalskyy V. ↓, Pikhalyonok O. ↑,
- 90', Sudakov G. ↓, Tsukanov V. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Kabaev V. ↓, Karavaev O. ↑,
- 97', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
- 102', Tobias V. ↓, Ghram A. ↑,
- 105', Dubinchak V. ↓, Vivcharenko K. ↑,
- 112', Mykhavko T. ↓, Bilovar K. ↑,
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, Nazaryna Y. (Pen),
- 1, Vanat V. (Pen),
- 2, Alisson (Pen),
- 2, Brazhko V. (Pen),
- 3, Kevin (Pen),
- 3, Pikhalyonok O. (Pen),
- 4, Kaua Elias (Pen),
- 4, Vivcharenko K. (Pen),
- 5, Ghram A. (Pen),
- 5, Mykhaylenko M. (Pen),
- 6, Kryskiv D. (Pen),
- 6, Karavaev O. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Shakhtar Donetsk
39.1% | Draw
29.1% | Dynamo Kyiv
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.62) |
3.25 ↑
(3.24) |
2.96 ↑
(2.6) |
5.9%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Tsentralnyi Stadion.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 2.
- Recent performances by Shakhtar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dynamo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Dynamo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtar won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Dynamo Kyiv?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Kyiv won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Dynamo Kyiv has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv were as follows:
27.04.2025
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Dynamo Kyiv
2:2
27.10.2024
Dynamo Kyiv
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:1
11.05.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Dynamo Kyiv
1:0
03.11.2023
Dynamo Kyiv
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
0:1
22.04.2023
Dynamo Kyiv
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:1
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Metalist 1925 | Obolon | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kolos Polonne | Naftovyk Dolyna | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Fazenda | SK Metalurh | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Uzhhorod | Fenix Mariupol | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Livyi Bereg | Kudrivka | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Viktoria | Vorskla Poltava | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Karbon Cherkasy | Inhulets | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | Skala 1911 | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Kormil Yavoriv | Rukh Lviv | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Polissya Stavky | Rebel Kyiv | 3 : 0 |
| 15 | Epitsentr | Ahrotekh Tyshkivka | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Ch. Odesa | FK Zorya Luhansk | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Nyva Vinnytsya | UCSA | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Hirnyk-Sport | Trostyanets | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Metalist Kharkiv | Mayak Sarny | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | LNZ Cherkasy | Probiy Horodenka | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | Chaika | Lisne | 0 : 4 |
| 22 | FC Vilkhivtsi | Olympia Savyntsi | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0 : 3 |
| 24 | Denhoff Denykhivka | Prykarpattya | 3 : 2 |
| 25 | FC Chernihiv | Atlet Kiev | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Kulikiv | Kryvbas | 0 : 3 |
| 27 | Lozova | Bukovyna | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Penuel Kryvyi Rih | Karpaty Lviv | 0 : 8 |
| 29 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | Kolos Kovalivka | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Korosten | Veres-Rivne | 0 : 4 |
| 31 | Iron | SC Poltava | 1 : 5 |
| 32 | Real Pharma | Nyva Ternopil | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Metalist 1925 | Kolos Polonne | |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 3 | SK Metalurh | Fenix Mariupol | |
| 4 | Livyi Bereg | Viktoria | |
| 5 | Inhulets | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | |
| 6 | Rukh Lviv | Polissya Zhytomyr | |
| 7 | Polissya Stavky | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
| 8 | Ahrotekh Tyshkivka | Ch. Odesa | |
| 9 | Nyva Vinnytsya | Hirnyk-Sport | |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | LNZ Cherkasy | |
| 11 | Lisne | Olympia Savyntsi | |
| 12 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Denhoff Denykhivka | |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | Kryvbas | |
| 14 | Bukovyna | Karpaty Lviv | |
| 15 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | Veres-Rivne | |
| 16 | SC Poltava | Nyva Ternopil | |
