Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Cup Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv
Result
2:1 penalties
14/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ukrainian Cup - Final
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
50
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
75
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
50
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2811
Throw-ins
2935
Fouls
1127
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Eguinaldo 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Yarmolenko A. , Dubinchak V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Eguinaldo , Kaua Elias ,
  • 54', Vanat V. 🟨,
  • 54', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
  • 61', Yarmolenko A. 🟨,
  • 62', Marlon Gomes , Kryskiv D. ,
  • 62', Pedrinho , Alisson ,
  • 62', Bondarenko A. , Nazaryna Y. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Kaua Elias , Alisson (A),
  • 74', Shaparenko M. , Brazhko V. ,
  • 81', Yarmolenko A. , Voloshyn N. ,
  • 81', Buyalskyy V. , Pikhalyonok O. ,
  • 90', Sudakov G. , Tsukanov V. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Kabaev V. , Karavaev O. ,
  • 97', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
  • 102', Tobias V. , Ghram A. ,
  • 105', Dubinchak V. , Vivcharenko K. ,
  • 112', Mykhavko T. , Bilovar K. ,
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, Nazaryna Y. (Pen),
  • 1, Vanat V. (Pen),
  • 2, Alisson (Pen),
  • 2, Brazhko V. (Pen),
  • 3, Kevin (Pen),
  • 3, Pikhalyonok O. (Pen),
  • 4, Kaua Elias (Pen),
  • 4, Vivcharenko K. (Pen),
  • 5, Ghram A. (Pen),
  • 5, Mykhaylenko M. (Pen),
  • 6, Kryskiv D. (Pen),
  • 6, Karavaev O. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shakhtar Donetsk
39.1%
Draw
29.1%
Dynamo Kyiv
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 28.7% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 29% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.62)
    3.25
    (3.24)
    2.96
    (2.6)
    5.9%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Tsentralnyi Stadion.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 2.
    • Recent performances by Shakhtar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dynamo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Dynamo has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtar won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv 2:2
    27.10.2024 Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    11.05.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv 1:0
    03.11.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:1
    22.04.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Livyi BeregKudrivka1 : 0
    2ViktoriaVorskla Poltava1 : 0
    3Karbon CherkasyInhulets1 : 2
    4Podillya KhmelnytskyiSkala 19111 : 0
    5OleksandriyaBye
    6ByeDyn. Kyiv
    7Polissya StavkyRebel Kyiv3 : 0
    8ByeShakhtar Donetsk
    9EpitsentrAhrotekh Tyshkivka1 : 2
    10Ch. OdesaFK Zorya Luhansk2 : 1
    11FazendaSK Metalurh0 : 1
    12UzhhorodFenix Mariupol1 : 2
    13LozovaBukovyna0 : 3
    14Penuel Kryvyi RihKarpaty Lviv0 : 8
    15Real PharmaNyva Ternopil0 : 3
    16IronSC Poltava1 : 5
    17FC ChernihivAtlet Kiev1 : 0
    18KulikivKryvbas0 : 3
    19FC VilkhivtsiOlympia Savyntsi1 : 2
    20ChaikaLisne0 : 4
    21Metalist KharkivMayak Sarny2 : 0
    22LNZ CherkasyProbiy Horodenka1 : 0
    23Kormil YavorivRukh Lviv1 : 2
    24ByePolissya Zhytomyr
    25Denhoff DenykhivkaPrykarpattya3 : 2
    26Dinaz VyshgorodAhrobiznes Volochysk0 : 3
    27Kolos PolonneNaftovyk Dolyna1 : 0
    28Metalist 1925Obolon2 : 0
    29Lokomotyv KyivKolos Kovalivka3 : 2
    30KorostenVeres-Rivne0 : 4
    31Nyva VinnytsyaUCSA3 : 0
    32Hirnyk-SportTrostyanets1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Livyi BeregViktoria0 : 1
    2InhuletsPodillya Khmelnytskyi4 : 1
    3OleksandriyaDyn. Kyiv1 : 2
    4Polissya StavkyShakhtar Donetsk0 : 1
    5Ahrotekh TyshkivkaCh. Odesa2 : 1
    6SK MetalurhFenix Mariupol1 : 2
    7BukovynaKarpaty Lviv1 : 0
    8Nyva TernopilSC Poltava3 : 0
    9FC ChernihivKryvbas3 : 0
    10Olympia SavyntsiLisne1 : 2
    11Metalist KharkivLNZ Cherkasy0 : 2
    12Rukh LvivPolissya Zhytomyr3 : 0
    13Denhoff DenykhivkaAhrobiznes Volochysk0 : 2
    14Kolos PolonneMetalist 19251 : 4
    15Lokomotyv KyivVeres-Rivne1 : 0
    16Nyva VinnytsyaHirnyk-Sport7 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ViktoriaInhulets
    2Dyn. KyivShakhtar Donetsk
    3Ahrotekh TyshkivkaFenix Mariupol
    4BukovynaNyva Ternopil
    5FC ChernihivLisne
    6LNZ CherkasyRukh Lviv
    7Ahrobiznes VolochyskMetalist 1925
    8Lokomotyv KyivNyva Vinnytsya