Result
2:2
16/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 8, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix |
Belgium | VOOsport World 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 2 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
France | Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Ireland | Premier Sports 2 ROI |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Arena |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 7 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (285/372) | 78% (259/330) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (285/372) | 78% (259/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (66/106) | 58% (42/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Isaque Silva 🟨,
- 31', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 33', van Duijl B. 🟨,
- 35', Boogaard K. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sadiq I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
- 46', Maikuma S. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 1, Alisson ⚽, Kaua Elias (A),
- 61', Alisson ↓, Marlon Gomes ↑,
- 61', Isaque Silva ↓, Eguinaldo ↑,
- 63', Meerdink M. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 63', van Duijl B. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
- 70', Newerton ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 70', Kaua Elias ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
- 71', Tobias V. 🟨,
- 71', Echteld L. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Jensen I. ⚽,
- 78', Eguinaldo 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 1, Sin M. ⚽, Kovacs B. (A),
- 83', 2 - 2, Luca Meirelles ⚽, Lucas Ferreira (A),
- 85', Matviienko M. 🟨,
- 88', Ocheretko O. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
- 90+3', Weslley Patati ↓, Menu M. ↑,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar 36.2% | Draw 27.3% | Shakhtar Donetsk 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.62 ↑ (2.43) |
3.48 ↑ (3.36) |
2.6 ↓ (2.91) |
5.4% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 31.5% – 68.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Shakhtar (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - AZ (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - AZ (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 50%). Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
- AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shakhtar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of home games.
- AZ could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in AZ: Hornkamp J.
(Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Koopmeiners P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Shakhtar: Kornienko V.
(Inactive)
Petryak I.
(Inactive)
Savchenko R.
(Inactive)
Sigeev K.
(Inactive)
Udod D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo
(Injury)
Isaque Silva
(Concussion)
Kryskiv D.
(Injury)
Marlon Gomes
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
- Including home match between the teams, AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
AZ Alkmaar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against AZ Alkmaar?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
09.04.2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:0
08.07.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
3:3
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 2 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | 1 : 3, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 0 |
Final