AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
16/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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irelandIrelandPremier Sports 2 ROI
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italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Arena
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polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
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swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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usaUsaParamount+
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vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.851.53
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
36
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
33
Passes
77% (285/372)78% (259/330)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
0.851.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.71
Total shots
814
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
58
Shots outside the box
36
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
27
Free kicks
1818
Passes
77% (285/372)78% (259/330)
Long passes
34% (21/62)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
62% (66/106)58% (42/72)
Crosses
36% (4/11)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.40
Throw ins
1517
Fouls
1917
Tackles
67% (14/21)85% (11/13)
Duels won
6369
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.711.47
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Isaque Silva 🟨,
  • 31', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 33', van Duijl B. 🟨,
  • 35', Boogaard K. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sadiq I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Chavez Garcia M. , Jensen I. ,
  • 46', Maikuma S. , Oufkir A. ,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Alisson , Kaua Elias (A),
  • 61', Alisson , Marlon Gomes ,
  • 61', Isaque Silva , Eguinaldo ,
  • 63', Meerdink M. , Kovacs B. ,
  • 63', van Duijl B. , Robbemond R. ,
  • 70', Newerton , Lucas Ferreira ,
  • 70', Kaua Elias , Luca Meirelles ,
  • 71', Tobias V. 🟨,
  • 71', Echteld L. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Jensen I. ,
  • 78', Eguinaldo 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Sin M. , Kovacs B. (A),
  • 83', 2 - 2, Luca Meirelles , Lucas Ferreira (A),
  • 85', Matviienko M. 🟨,
  • 88', Ocheretko O. , Bondarenko A. ,
  • 90+3', Weslley Patati , Menu M. ,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
36.2%
Draw
27.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 28.3% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 29.6% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.43)
    3.48
    (3.36)
    2.6
    (2.91)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 31.5%68.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Shakhtar (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - AZ (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - AZ (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 50%). Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
    • AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shakhtar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of home games.
    • AZ could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in AZ: Hornkamp J. (Injury) Kasius D. (Injury) Koopmeiners P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Sigeev K. (Inactive) Udod D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo (Injury) Isaque Silva (Concussion) Kryskiv D. (Injury) Marlon Gomes (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    09.04.2026 Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar 3:0
    08.07.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk 3:3
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)2 : 2, 3 : 0
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)1 : 2, 3 : 0
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)1 : 3, 3 : 0
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)0 : 4, 2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 3
    2Rayo Vallecano (5)Strasbourg (1)1 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2