Result
0:3
07/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', 🟨,
- 41', Yunuszada E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 59', 0 - 1, Mammadov O. ⚽,
- 64', Sno S. 🟨,
- 69', Yunuszada E. ↓, Qadirzada I. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 2, Rossi K. ⚽,
- 74', Cahangirov U. ↓, Kings P. ↑,
- 74', Thompson G. ↓, Rosa V. ↑,
- 81', Msanga A. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 3, Balau D. ⚽,
- 85', Apolinario R. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
- 86', Mammadov O. ↓, Ismayilov B. ↑,
- 90', Veremeev V. 🟨,
- 90+1', Abbasov R. ↓, Muradly S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karvan
20% | Draw
27.3% | Shamakhi
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karvan's form might have worsened.Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamakhi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karvan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shamakhi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karvan - Shamakhi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.54 ↑
(3.24) |
3.33 ↓
(3.4) |
1.73 ↓
(2.06) |
9.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Karvan - Shamakhi?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karvan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shamakhi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ I Liqa and 9).
- Karvan is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Shamakhi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shamakhi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shamakhi is the team to beat.
- We predict that Shamakhi will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1.3:3.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Shamakhi?
Karvan has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Karvan?
Shamakhi has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Shamakhi were as follows:
14.09.2025
Shamakhi
-
Karvan
3:0
07.03.2024
Karvan
-
Shamakhi
0:6
24.11.2023
Shamakhi
-
Karvan
2:4
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
